硬盘因人工智能数据中心需求激增而短缺,已积压两年。
Hard drives on backorder for two years as AI data centers trigger HDD shortage

原始链接: https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/hdds/ai-triggers-hard-drive-shortage-amidst-dram-squeeze-enterprise-hard-drives-on-backorder-by-2-years-as-hyperscalers-switch-to-qlc-ssds

人工智能的快速发展导致内存(DRAM)和存储严重短缺,显著影响了硬件的可用性和价格。数据中心的需求超过了制造能力,导致企业级硬盘的交付延迟长达两年。 为了绕过这些延误,大型云服务提供商正在转向更便宜的QLC NAND闪存SSD用于冷存储,但这现在*正在制造新的短缺*,QLC NAND本身也供不应求,制造商的订单已排满至2026年。预计这一转变将使QLC在2027年超过TLC NAND的受欢迎程度。 因此,NAND价格已经开始上涨——闪迪最近将价格提高了50%——这种稀缺性最终会影响消费者,导致各类型SSD的成本上升。制造商优先考虑利润丰厚的AI合同,留给其他客户的产能有限,专家预测情况将会恶化。

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原文

The race to achieve AGI (artificial general intelligence) has pushed constituents to invest in and build data centers at a pace far outstripping our ability to make them. Manufacturers are struggling to keep up with AI demand, and the ongoing DRAM shortage is proof of this, with memory kits costing more than double what they did just a few months ago. Now, DigiTimes is reporting that storage is taking a hit, too, with delivery times for enterprise-grade HDDs delayed by two years.

That means if a firm wants to buy large-capacity hard drives, the backbone of nearline storage, it has to wait 24 months due to long lead times. As the news cycle suggests, AI money doesn't wait for anyone, so hyperscalers are now switching to QLC NAND-based SSDs to avoid these backorders. Picking QLC over TLC allows them to maintain costs while achieving sufficient endurance for cold storage.

Crucial P2

Crucial P2 uses Micron-manufactured QLC NAND (Image credit: Tom's Hardware)

Therefore, given the current situation, QLC NAND is expected to overtake TLC in popularity by early 2027, marking a significant shift in the storage landscape. While enterprise-grade QLC SSDs would entirely power this pivot, Sandisk has already raised NAND prices by 50%, according to another DigiTimes report, after initially warning of a 10% increase two months ago.

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