长期失业正在成为当今就业市场的“常态”。
Long-term unemployment is becoming 'a status quo' in today's job market

原始链接: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/16/long-term-unemployment-becoming-a-status-quo-in-todays-job-market.html

## 长期失业人数增加,预示着就业市场停滞 尽管美国劳动力市场看似稳定,近期就业有所增长,但越来越多的美国人正面临长期失业——定义为失业六个月或以上。目前,每四名失业者中就有 1 名(180 万人)属于此类,他们往往已经耗尽了失业救济金。 这一趋势与典型的经济衰退后复苏情况相反,并且是由就业机会减少所驱动的:职位空缺、招聘和主动辞职人数都在下降。公司在疫情后过度招聘,现在正在纠正方向,导致裁员和招聘环境停滞。 这一挑战影响着各个经验水平的工人。像蒂基拉·特纳 (Tequila Turner) 这样的经验丰富的专业人士正在努力重获立足点,而年轻毕业生则面临着日益激烈的竞争和更少的入门级职位。许多人被迫从事兼职工作或依靠储蓄,与不断下降的信心和对不透明招聘流程的沮丧作斗争。 专家强调这越来越成为一个*结构性*问题,而不是个人失败,求职者数量现在超过了可用职位。这种经历会损害福祉,并可能导致长期收入损失,凸显了对支持和转变对长期失业的看法。

这次黑客新闻的讨论围绕着CNBC的一篇文章,该文章强调了美国长期失业问题日益严重。用户们表达了对国家正朝着重大经济衰退方向前进的担忧,并且没有明确的解决方案。 评论显示了黯淡的就业市场现状,例子包括合同工期结束、初创公司裁员,以及需要担保的H-1B签证持有者面临的额外困难。一位评论员批评提供的例子不能很好地说明文章的观点,认为即使是ChatGPT也能提供更好的案例。 最后一条评论表达了对当前政府政策的强烈政治不满。总的来说,这个帖子描绘了一幅美国经济形势悲观的图景,以及求职者面临的挑战。
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原文

Tequila Turner collected her last regular paycheck in October 2024. Since then she's traded her steady career in corporate IT for freelance projects and gig work, like delivering for DoorDash.

Her income plummeted from six figures to a fraction of that last year, she tells me over the phone between making deliveries. She moved in with friends to save money. And she's been hard at work looking for a new job — but so far, no real luck.

Turner, 47, says she lost her job over a year ago when her contract role with a bank ended. The Kansas City, Missouri, resident is part of the growing share of Americans who are not only unemployed but have been looking for work for six months or more, making them what the Bureau of Labor Statistics defines as "long-term unemployed."

Official numbers about the job market show a relatively stable labor economy with stronger than expected job growth in January — more than half of jobs added were in health care — and a slight drop in the unemployment rate to 4.3%, or 7.4 million people.

But the share of people who've been out of work for six-plus months has been rising for the last three years. Typically, long-term unemployment has gone down after the job market recovers following recessionary shocks like the pandemic or Great Recession.

Today, 1 in 4 unemployed people, or 1.8 million Americans, have been job searching for over half a year, which in most cases means they've also exhausted their unemployment insurance benefits. Benefits vary by state but on average replace less than 40% of a person's previous income.

In today's challenging hiring environment, stories like Turner's are becoming more common.

Why long-term unemployment is on the rise

The pool of job opportunities has been shrinking for a while: Job openings, hiring and voluntary quits (which signal workers' confidence in being able to get a new job) have been sliding since the post-pandemic hiring boom of 2022.

Meanwhile, U.S. employers added just 181,000 jobs in all of 2025 (compared to 1.46 million in 2024), and businesses announced 108,435 layoffs in January.

These compounding factors mean those looking for a job are having a harder time landing one.

Businesses are no longer adding jobs and are slowly trimming their workforce to correct for over-hiring directly after the pandemic recession, says Nicole Bachaud, a labor economist at career site ZipRecruiter.

"The moment we're in right now in labor is stagnation across the board for workers and for employers," she says. While workers moved jobs (and even quit on their own) after other recessions like the 2008 financial crisis or Covid-19 pandemic, today they're staying put.

"Unemployment is becoming more of a status quo versus a temporary position for workers who find themselves out of their job," Bachaud says.

People who've been out of work long-term tell CNBC Make It the experience has chipped away at their confidence and made them question their career decisions. Some have taken on part-time work to pay for bills, while others have moved in with family.

They say they're doing everything by the job-searching playbook, and even trying new methods, but still nothing seems to be working.

Big challenges for young workers

Chris Fong is an early-career job seeker in the San Francisco Bay Area.

Courtesy of subject

He's also noticed the interview process getting longer as companies get "more picky," he says. One recent company required eight rounds, and he still didn't get the role.

Fong says he's been living on savings and recently took up a part-time job working at a friend's film rental gear company. It's minimum wage but helps pay the bills. In January, he started documenting his unemployment journey on Instagram as a creative outlet and to regain control of his life and career story.

"I was tired of letting these recruiters and companies judge me based off my previous experience" on a resume, he says. "I was like, 'I'm going to start something myself.'"

Long-term unemployment is still talked about a personal shortcoming when in reality it's increasingly a structural issue.

Sakshi Patel

Job seeker in Boston

Some recent grads say changing immigration policies add stress to their search.

Sakshi Patel, 22, earned her master's degree in financial management in May 2025. She's currently volunteering at a nonprofit as a business analyst, but as an international student from India needs to find employment by the spring in order to stay in the U.S.

Now, she's worried new policies, like the Trump administration's revamping the H1-B visa program and adding a $100,000 application fee, will mean companies won't be looking to hire international students who need visa sponsorship like her.

Sakshi Patel graduated with her master's degree in May 2025 and hopes to secure a full-time job in finance.

Courtesy of subject

Patel says she's trying everything to get hired: She lives in Boston but will relocate anywhere and is open to jobs not related to her major. She estimates she sends 30 to 40 tailored applications per week but rarely hears back.

"Long-term unemployment is still talked about a personal shortcoming when in reality it's increasingly a structural issue," she adds. "A lot of people are doing everything they're supposed to be doing and still not getting work."

From feeling in-demand to 'completely ignored'

Do I have to knock off $5,000, $10,000 and accept a lower salary just to get my foot in the door?

Myriam Samake

Job seeker in Sterling, Virginia

"It's at that point where if I did get an offer, I would take it 100%," she says. "It's sad in a way, where I don't know if we can be as picky anymore."

In another sign of the challenging job-seeker market, more workers are making a lateral move or taking a pay cut for a new job, and the share of new hires who say they landed their "dream job" is down, according to ZipRecruiter data from the final months of 2025.

Samake says she doesn't have high hopes to land hers. "I'm trying to look for places that have diversity. I am a Black woman, and that's important to me," she says. "Do I have to lower my expectations on that or the salary I want? Do I have to knock off $5,000, $10,000 and accept a lower salary just to get my foot in the door?"

Like many job seekers, Samake is frustrated with the state of applying to jobs online and never really knowing if the materials she pours over make it to a human reviewer. In mid-2025, the average job opening received 242 applications, or three times the average in 2017, according to Greenhouse data reported by Business Insider.

"It's such a mental war," Samake says.

Even experienced workers are having a hard time. Greg Roth, 52, remembers back in 2022 getting to final interviews with four companies and securing two competing offers. The D.C.-based executive communications professional joined Thumbtack, the home repair marketplace, in June 2022, but by December was laid off along with 14% of the company

Greg Roth is an executive communications professional in the Washington, D.C. area.

Courtesy of subject

He resumed looking for a full-time job in 2024 but says interviews are hard to come by. "In a short amount of time I've gone from feeling very in-demand to feeling completely ignored," Roth says. "My skills haven't changed, so either the market has changed, or there's just less hiring."

Both are likely, says Bachaud, the ZipRecruiter economist. Businesses have been scaling back on hiring due to a number of economic factors (like high interest rates and stubborn inflation), political challenges (like new tariff policies) and shifting business objectives (like investments in AI), Bachaud says.

And now, the supply of job seekers it outpacing demand in hiring: As of December, there were roughly 1 million more people looking for work than there were available jobs, according to BLS data analyzed by Indeed.

What job seekers wish others knew about long-term unemployment

Andrew Bohan says one of the hardest parts of dealing with long-term unemployment isn't just the constant rejection, but also not have a satisfying answer when people ask how the search is going.

Bohan lost his paralegal job in August 2024, exhausted his unemployment insurance benefits in March 2025, and in January 2026 moved from Chicago to Baltimore to live with family and keep bills low.

"I like to tell people being unemployed isn't the problem; it's keeping your head screwed on that's the real problem," he says. He says he can feel pressure to "prove" he's being proactive about his circumstances among friends and family, though that's hard to show without the results of interviews or offers.

Losing a job can have long-term impacts: Research has shown that losing a job is associated with declines in psychological and physical wellbeing, social withdrawal and long-term earning losses. Other studies have shown people who experience unemployment tend to get new jobs earning about 5% to 15% less than similar workers who did not lose their jobs.

Bohan, who's recently applied to hourly service jobs to no avail, tries not to be too pessimistic about his situation. Otherwise it shows up in his interactions, from recruiters to friends and family. "You just have to focus on what's in front of you and what you can do about it," he says.

That can be as simple as getting a good night's rest in order to be ready to apply to new jobs the next day, Bohan says: "I don't like being idle. I want to get back into the game."

These are people who've provided for their families and themselves for their entire lives. We want to do the work.

Tequila Turner

Job seeker in Kansas City, Missouri

Turner, the risk management worker in Kansas City, hopes long-term job seekers recognize that it takes a lot of self care and encouragement to not internalize the challenges of unemployment.

To those who do have jobs or know others struggling with the search, "I wish people knew this is not a choice," Turner says. "It's new to us. These are people who've provided for their families and themselves for their entire lives."

Many job seekers, like Turner, have years of work experience and valuable skills they've earned over their careers, she says. Now they just need the opportunity to showcase that to an employer, she says: "We want to do the work."

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