OpenAI 重置支出预期,从 1.4 万亿美元降至 6000 亿美元。
OpenAI resets spending expectations, from $1.4T to $600B

原始链接: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/20/openai-resets-spend-expectations-targets-around-600-billion-by-2030.html

OpenAI正在重新调整其雄心勃勃的支出计划,目前目标是到2030年拥有6000亿美元的计算能力——低于此前估计的1.4万亿美元——以更好地与预计收入相符。该公司预测到2030年收入将超过2800亿美元,消费和企业部门各占一半。 此次调整是在与芯片制造商和云提供商达成重要基础设施协议之后进行的。OpenAI目前正在敲定一轮超过1000亿美元的融资,英伟达可能投资高达300亿美元,这将使该公司估值7300亿美元。其他战略投资者包括软银和亚马逊。 在ChatGPT(目前每周活跃用户超过9亿)及其编码工具Codex(每周活跃用户超过150万)的成功推动下,OpenAI在2025年创造了131亿美元的收入,但同时消耗了80亿美元。尽管面临来自谷歌和Anthropic的竞争,ChatGPT在短暂放缓后已恢复到创纪录的用户参与度。

## OpenAI 支出调整与收入预测 - 摘要 OpenAI 大幅下调了其支出预测,从 1.4 万亿美元降至 6000 亿美元,引发了 Hacker News 的讨论。与此同时,预计到 2030 年的收入为 2800 亿美元,超过大多数科技巨头(除 Nvidia、Apple、Google 和 Microsoft 之外)的年收入。目前预计 2026 年的收入为 200 亿美元,代表着巨大的增长。 然而,评论员对这些数字表示怀疑,质疑其潜在假设和经济可行性。担忧集中在人工智能可能导致的失业以及如果大量人口失业谁将推动需求。 许多人认为最初的预测是夸大的营销炒作,一些人指出基础设施限制(如能源容量)是实现甚至修订后的目标所面临的障碍。这一转变也正在影响其他公司,这些公司此前基于 OpenAI 之前的承诺进行了投资,可能预示着人工智能泡沫的破裂。
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原文

Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, is pictured on Sept. 25, 2025, in Berlin.

Florian Gaertner | Photothek | Getty Images

OpenAI is telling investors that it's now targeting roughly $600 billion in total compute spend by 2030, months after CEO Sam Altman touted $1.4 trillion in infrastructure commitments.

The artificial intelligence company is providing a lower number and more defined timeline for its planned spending, sources told CNBC, as broader concerns mounted that expansion ambitions were too great for the potential revenue that would follow.

OpenAI is projecting that its total revenue for 2030 will be more than $280 billion, with nearly equal contributions from its consumer and enterprise businesses, said the sources, who asked not to be named because the information is private. The spending plan the company is offering is meant to more directly tie to its expected revenue growth, the people said.

In the back half of last year, OpenAI announced a flurry of multibillion-dollar infrastructure deals, partnering with leading chipmakers and cloud companies.

OpenAI is finalizing a massive funding round that could total more than $100 billion, with about 90% coming from strategic investors, one person said. Nvidia is in discussions to invest up to $30 billion in OpenAI as part of the round that could value the company at a $730 billion pre-money valuation, CNBC has confirmed.

In addition to Nvidia, strategic investors in the funding include SoftBank and Amazon.

OpenAI generated $13.1 billion in revenue in 2025, the sources said, up from its $10 billion target. The company burned through $8 billion, lower than its $9 billion target, they said.

The startup was founded as a nonprofit research lab in 2015, and it rocketed into the mainstream following the launch of its chatbot ChatGPT in 2022. ChatGPT now supports more than 900 million weekly active users, the people said, up from 800 million as of October.

OpenAI declared a "code red" in December to focus on improving the chatbot in the face of competition from rivals Google and Anthropic. ChatGPT had a dip in growth in the fall, but is back to record highs in both weekly active and daily active users, the people said.

The company's coding product, Codex, has surpassed more than 1.5 million weekly active users, the people said. Codex competes directly with Anthropic's Claude Code, which has seen a wave of adoption over the last year.

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