美国,可能也是世界,正站在悬崖边缘。
America, and probably the world, stands on a precipice

原始链接: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/america-and-probably-the-world-stands

Anthropic,一家领先的AI公司,正面临一个可能产生全球影响的关键决策。美国战争部,由彼特·海格塞斯(Pete Hegseth)部长领导,正在要求无限制地访问Anthropic的AI软件,用于军事应用,包括自主武器系统——甚至可能包括控制核武器的系统。 这不仅仅关乎AI在战争中的应用;这是一场权力争夺,试图绕过国会监督。海格塞斯正在施加一个快速的期限,有效地压制了关于关键伦理和安全问题的公众辩论和立法审议。批评者担心海格塞斯缺乏对AI局限性的细致理解,并将优先考虑快速部署而非负责任的使用。 核心问题是,关于AI驱动的监控和致命武力决策应该由个人做出,还是通过一个透明、民主的过程,由国会和公众参与。倡导者呼吁立即采取行动——联系代表——以防止设定一个潜在的危险先例。

最近一篇黑客新闻上的帖子链接到一篇文章,警告美国乃至全球正处于政府与企业关系的关键时刻。讨论的中心是担忧政治权力被用来胁迫私营公司采取它们通常不会采取的行动,从而有效地将潜在的非法活动外包。 评论者普遍认为这是一个危险的趋势,一些人将其描述为政府过度干预和企业为利润驱动而顺从的历史模式。 许多人对法治的侵蚀感到沮丧,并认为正在走向法西斯主义。 然而,一位评论员警告不要轻信该来源,因为它有不准确预测的历史。 总体情绪表明,人们担心不受约束的权力和企业激励措施正在创造一个容易被滥用的系统,需要采取政治行动来解决。
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原文

As I wrote here yesterday, Anthropic’s showdown with The US Department of War may literally be life or death for all of us. If Pete Hegseth forces Dario Amodei to fold, not one but two monstrous precedents will be set.

The first is obvious, and terrible in itself. The second is subtle but no less important.

The first is that what Secretary Hegseth is demanding, backed by heavy threats, is that the US military have full, unrestricted access to Anthropic’s AI software, for applications such as military surveillance and autonomous weapons without humans in the loop. This could well extend to nuclear weapons.

Nothing that I have read convinces me that Secretary Hegseth has a nuanced understanding of the strengths and limits of current AI, or that he will show restraint in how he applies it. Rather he is trying to define his career in part around deploying AI as broadly and as quickly as possible.

The second is that Hegseth’s maneuver is an audacious power grabs that aims to circumvent Congress. By setting a deadline of 5:01 PM eastern tomorrow, Hegseth aims to cut everybody else – even Congress — out of the loop.

A reader of this newsletter, a tech writer who describes himself as a political independent just wrote to me, rightfully panicked:

Today the Pentagon will force Anthropic to change their corporate goal of responsible AI. This is not something to be decided in the marketplace by a bully with deep pockets; it must be decided in Congress. Senators and Congressmen must take a position and deliberate in public about whether it is OK to use AI for surveillance of Americans and to launch lethal strikes controlled by AI with no “human in the loop”. Please say something today, before Amodei has to surrender.

He is right.

Please call or write your Senators and Representatives right now.

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AI policy, especially of this magnitude, is something that American people should have a say in. Congress should deliberate. Mass surveillance and AI-fueled weapons, possibly nuclear, without humans in the loop are categorically not things that one individual, even one in the Cabinet, should be allowed to decide at a gunpoint.

But that is exactly where we are headed.

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