技术人员总是上当受骗。
Tech people keep falling for the same scam

原始链接: https://explodingcomma.com/posts/tech-people-keep-falling-for-the-same-scam

这篇帖子表达了对技术写作者过度乐观地宣传易于获得的AI应用创建工具的沮丧。作者认为,相信这些工具会带来解放和乌托邦式的未来,忽视了过去三十年的科技行业历史。 虽然这些技术的*潜力*尚可争论,但作者强调一个关键点:风险投资最终需要回报。目前的易用性和低成本是不可持续的。他们预测,现在出现的“很棒的东西”不可避免地会转向数据收集和广告,因为投资者寻求利润。 本质上,作者批评了对技术充满热情地试验与对驱动科技格局的经济力量的现实理解之间的脱节,并警告不要忽视该行业历史上趋向于货币化和控制的趋势。

## AI 炒作与经济现实 - Hacker News 总结 Hacker News 上的一场讨论集中在当前对人工智能的兴奋是否被风险投资资金人为夸大了,类似于 Uber 早期的情况。Uber 的比较突出了不可持续的补贴,但评论员认为人工智能有所不同,因为它有可能显著降低每次使用成本(“每 token 成本”)。 提出的担忧包括,风险投资公司可能游说限制开源人工智能(特别是来自中国),以保护其投资,以及一旦主要参与者出现,很可能会转向数据挖掘和广告——类似于 Netflix 的演变。 多位用户提倡支持开源人工智能,以对抗潜在的垄断。一个反复出现的主题是对过于乐观的技术叙事的怀疑,一位评论员引用了《辛普森一家》的“单轨列车”一集作为警示故事。这场辩论探讨了当前的热情是真正的革命,还是仅仅由风险投资资金推动的“骗局”。
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原文

JFC. Another tech writer I used to respect who is now posting about how the future is now fantastically wonderful and wide-open because anyone can create an app to do whatever they want.

Because, you know—he built some random thing with a few prompts on one of these vibe-coding products.

I just don’t understand how anyone who has paid even the slightest bit of attention to the tech industry for the last thirty years can look at any of this stuff these huge companies are cranking out and think “Yeah, it’s gonna stay cheap and liberating and we will all be able to set ourselves free to experience utopia by embracing it!”

There’s an argument to be had as to whether, absent all of the cultural and economic forces that have shaped and which drive the tech industry, the products that industry builds are good or bad in the abstract. But there is no way any sentient, responsibly aware adult should be looking at what has happened to basically every part of the tech economy and not understand that sooner or later, the investors want their money and all of this awesome stuff you think you’re able to do right now will dry up and turn into data-mining and advertising.

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