伊朗战争是否可能引发2016年式移民危机?匈牙利总理欧尔班发出最坏情况的警告。
Could War In Iran Spark A 2016-Style Migrant Crisis? Hungary's PM Orbán Warns Of Worst-Case Scenario

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/could-war-iran-spark-2016-style-migrant-crisis-hungarys-pm-orban-warns-worst-case

匈牙利总理维克托·奥尔班警告说,中东冲突,特别是关于伊朗庞大人口的问题,可能引发一场远超2015-2016年叙利亚难民潮的移民危机。他担心潜在的涌入途径将通过土耳其和巴尔干地区,抵达匈牙利边境。 奥尔班在即将到来的选举中以和平与边境管控为竞选纲领,强调匈牙利需要“拒绝移民”。他还强调了不断升级的能源问题,引用了卡塔尔液化天然气交付中断以及伊朗袭击后潜在的油价飙升,以及乌克兰持续封锁的友谊管道。 他强调匈牙利必须为这些共同挑战——大规模移民和经济不稳定——做好准备,以保护其安全和经济。其他欧洲右翼政党,如德国的AfD,也表达了类似的担忧,他们优先考虑缓和局势,并防止再次发生不受控制的移民和潜在的恐怖主义威胁。

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原文

Via Remix News,

The migration crisis for Europe brought on by the war in Syria could repeat itself with Iran, but with Iran’s population dwarfing Syria’s, the crisis could be much worse, warns Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.

Ahead of Hungary’s April elections, Orbán has campaigned on peace, specifically staying out of the war in Ukraine, as well as preserving Hungary’s ability to say no to migration. However, he is now warning of further escalating dangers in the Middle East, including the risk of another wave of mass migration, similar to the masses of migrants seen in the capital of Budapest back in the 2015-2016 refugee crisis.

Speaking at a forum in Sopron, he told those gathered that the world is becoming increasingly unstable, and Hungary must also prepare for the consequences.

“There is also a war in the Middle East now. No one knows what immigration problems the prolonged military conflict will cause. Iran is a country of 90 million. If they start from there, Turkey is next, and they are already here in the Balkans, and they are here at our fence, the prime minister said in his latest video posted to X.

“We need to be sensible. This is not a time for taking risks,” he added.

War in the Middle East brings rising risks. A prolonged conflict may trigger new waves of mass migration, flowing from Iran to Turkey, through the Balkans, to our border. At the same time, LNG deliveries from Qatar are halted and energy prices are rising. These are testing times. Hungary must prepare and make sure the dam holds,” Orbán captioned his video on X, showing clips from the crisis in 2015.

Another key area of uncertainty is Hungary’s energy supply, already at risk due to Ukrainian President Zelensky’s refusal to reopen the Druzhba pipeline. According to Orbán, in the wake of the attacks on Iran, Qatar has now temporarily stopped the delivery of some of its liquefied natural gas, with prices spiking as much as 50 percent. Similar price moves are foreseen in the oil market as well.

War and its consequences, from mass migration to higher energy prices, is what faces the Hungarian nation today.

“It kills people, it shakes the economy, it can cause big problems, and we need to be there to stop it in its tracks to curb its effects,” Orbán said.

Notably, other European right-wing parties have taken a similar stance, while expressing fears that the Iran war could spark another refugee crisis.

The parliamentary faction of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) published a message on social media, stating that they “share the expectation that de-escalation must now be the top priority. For the danger is great that further military escalation could plunge the country into civil war and increase tensions across the entire region. We are therefore following the current developments with great concern. The federal government must now take all necessary precautions to prevent possible terrorist attacks in Germany and ensure that there is no repeat of uncontrolled migration to Germany. Germany’s primary interest lies in protecting our internal security, preventing further export of terror to Germany, and consistently countering new waves of migration.”

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