伊朗国家媒体:新最高领袖将在24小时内选出。
Iran's New Supreme Leader To Be Chosen Within 24 Hours: State Media

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/irans-new-supreme-leader-be-chosen-within-24-hours-state-media-saturday

伊朗可能距离宣布新最高领袖仅剩数小时,此前阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊去世。据报道,专家会议的目标是在24小时内做出决定。然而,这一过程正值改革派和强硬派之间激烈的内部政治紧张局势,以及持续的军事冲突中展开。 有报道称,已故领导人的儿子穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊是热门人选,但人们担心这会使他成为美国和以色列的直接目标。美国甚至声称已经消灭了潜在的继任者。 在伊朗与美国和以色列冲突升级之际,正进行着这一人选的确定,伊朗誓言抵制压力,同时也为对该地区造成影响的袭击向海湾国家道歉。强大的伊斯兰革命卫队的支持对任何新领导人至关重要,分析人士预测,鉴于日益严峻的威胁环境,这场危机很可能导致任命一位更加强硬的人物。局势仍然动荡,由于持续的战争,难以核实战场说法。

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原文

Iran could be hours away from installing a new supreme leader, with state Fars News reporting early Saturday that a successor may be selected within the next 24 hours, but there are signs of a potential factional power struggle - somewhat expected given the complex history of reform vs. hardline Islamic interpretations inside Iran.

The outlet cited sources within the Assembly of Experts, which is the 88-member body of Islamic jurists elected every eight years and tasked with choosing the country's top clerical authority. The process was "paused" this week amid the heavy bombing campaign. 

File image: Assembly of Experts 

There were reports earlier this week that the US-Israeli Operation Epic Fury had struck a Tehran building where the Assembly of Experts were meeting, but such battlefield claims by US and Israeli officials remain hard to ultimately verify, given the intensify of the bombardment and fog of war.

The development comes as the war continues to intensify, as President Trump vows to keep hitting Iran harder.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Tehran will "never surrender" to Washington or Tel Aviv, even as he issued an apology to neighboring Gulf states after Iranian strikes targeted locations linked to American military assets stationed in the region. And civilian sites in Gulf cities have also clearly been directly hit, such as airports - though the Iranians' own airports have been struck.

The process for choosing a new Supreme Leaders is likely intense as the bombs fall, and there's likely internal divide over how to handle the crisis among the country's long-standing political factions...

One name has emerged as likely front-runner, at least according to the Western media consensus

The senior clerics responsible for selecting Iran’s next supreme leader met on Tuesday to deliberate, and the son of the slain former leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, emerged as the clear front-runner, according to three Iranian officials familiar with the deliberations.

The officials said that the clerics were considering announcing that the son, Mojtaba Khamenei, would be his father’s successor as early as Wednesday morning but that some had expressed reservations, fearing that it could expose him as a target for the United States and Israel. They spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive internal deliberations.

Indeed already the US has said that potential successors have already been taken out, including some that President Trump said he might have been OK with.

Any new Ayatollah would likely immediately be targeted especially by Israel, and is thus likely to be even more 'hard line' than the slain Khamenei. Even the CIA has long admitted in analysis that this will be the likely outcome.

Any new religious leader must also have the support of the hard line IRGC, which is effectively running the country and the military response at this point.

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