初步的人工智能影响纵向研究数据
Preliminary data from a longitudinal AI impact study

原始链接: https://newsletter.getdx.com/p/ai-productivity-gains-are-10-not

## 工程赋能 - AI 与生产力更新 本周的工程赋能简报关注 AI 对开发者生产力的*实际*影响。尽管有炒作称收益可达 2-3 倍,但一项 DX 研究分析了 40 家公司一年的数据,显示**拉取请求处理量**的增幅较为适中,为 **9.97%**,同时 **AI 使用率上升了 65%**。 这与工程领导的反馈一致,他们报告的收益通常在 8-12% 之间。关键要点是:**编码并非主要的瓶颈**。开发者表示 AI 使任务*略微*更容易,但仍需花费大量时间进行规划、对齐、审查和其他非编码活动。 该研究将继续调查为什么有些团队比其他团队受益更多,旨在为领导者提供见解,以最大限度地发挥 AI 的潜力。3 月 19 日将举行与 Abi 的现场问答环节,进一步讨论这些话题。

Hacker News新 | 过去 | 评论 | 提问 | 展示 | 工作 | 提交登录 初步的纵向AI影响研究数据 (getdx.com) 14点 由 donutshop 1小时前 | 隐藏 | 过去 | 收藏 | 4评论 帮助 arisAlexis 19分钟前 | 下一个 [–] 因为人类可能很快成为瓶颈 回复verdverm 1小时前 | 上一个 [–] 到目前为止,我们仍在学习如何使用这个新的工具,它也在每次发布时变得更好 回复dude250711 21分钟前 | 父评论 [–] 我同意,今年年初是大约10.29%,现在至少是10.35%或类似数字。 回复verdverm 18分钟前 | 根评论 | 父评论 [–] 上次流传的是负面结果,所以我们在不到半年的时间内进步了超过10% 回复 指南 | 常见问题 | 列表 | API | 安全 | 法律 | 申请YC | 联系 搜索:
相关文章

原文

Welcome to the latest issue of Engineering Enablement, a weekly newsletter sharing research and perspectives on developer productivity.

🗓 Join Abi on March 19th for a live Q&A session. He will address some of the more pressing questions we’ve received around measuring AI impact, the impact of tool choice, and more. Register here.

Social media and vendor marketing have set high expectations for AI, suggesting as much as 2-3x productivity gains. But from the data we’re seeing, the reality on the ground is far more modest.

At DX, we’re currently conducting a longitudinal study to measure the long-term impact of AI adoption on key engineering productivity metrics. As part of this study, we analyzed data from 40 companies between November 2024 through February 2026 to track whether teams are shipping more pull requests as AI adoption increases.

We found that, during this time, AI usage increased significantly—by an average 65%. However, PR throughput only increased by 9.97%.

Note: This figure is particularly robust because we’ve filtered out potential gamification effects by excluding teams that set PR throughput targets for individual engineers, which could drive metric inflation rather than genuine output.

A ~10% gain is consistent with what we’re hearing from engineering leaders more broadly: most organizations are landing in the 8–12% range. It is a real improvement, but it’s a long way from the 2–3x gains many executives and boards have come to expect. AI is moving the needle, but leaders may need to reset expectations internally.

To understand what’s driving this, we spoke with developers across several of these organizations. The explanation we heard most consistently: writing code was never the bottleneck.

As one senior developer put it: “The easy tasks are a little easier. The tedious tasks are a little less annoying. A four-day task might take three. But that doesn’t mean I’m shipping 3x more PRs.”

AI may be accelerating the coding portion of the job. But coding represents a relatively small slice of how engineers actually spend their time. Planning, alignment, scoping, code review, and handoffs—the human parts of the SDLC—remain largely untouched.

We’re continuing to investigate the long-term effects of AI in engineering teams. The full study will explore why some teams are capturing more of the upside than others, and what leaders can do to close that gap. More to come.

This week’s featured DevProd job openings. See more open roles here.

That’s it for this week. Thanks for reading.

Share

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com