梅拉尼娅·特朗普在白宫与人形机器人的漫步,是否预示着政府对物理人工智能的推动?
Did Melania Trump's White House Walk With Humanoid Robot Signal Admin's Push Into Physical AI

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/melania-trumps-white-house-walk-humanoid-robot-signals-admins-push-physical-ai

白宫最近发出强烈信号,将大力推动美国制造的人形机器人。第一夫人梅拉尼娅·特朗普在教育峰会上与Figure 03机器人同台亮相,凸显了这一重点。此前有报道称,政府正在准备一项行政命令,以加速该领域的发展。 Jefferies分析师预测,随着人口老龄化、劳动力短缺以及人工智能和材料科学的进步,人形机器人的部署将迅速增加,从现在开始并将在未来十年加速。重要的是,机器人的运营成本(2-3美元/小时)远低于人工成本(20-25美元/小时以上),预计到2030年,价格将降至约2.5万美元。 人形机器人的早期部署已经开始,Figure AI和UBTech Robotics等公司正在将人形机器人交付并应用于工厂。这一举措可能会引发对供应组件和开发这些技术的公司的重大投资,使美国在下一波自动化浪潮中占据领先地位。

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原文

The White House on Wednesday hosted an education summit featuring first lady Melania Trump walking side by side with an American-made humanoid robot. 

The robot's placement at a White House event suggests the technology wing of the Trump administration is pivoting toward physical AI, with the next chapter increasingly centered on American-made humanoid robotics.

A Politico report in December revealed that the administration was preparing to go "all in" on accelerating humanoid robotics, with sources saying White House officials were considering an executive order sometime this year.

Melania's appearance alongside the Figure 03 robot may be the clearest signal yet that the administration is preparing to embrace robotics as the next natural progression of physical AI.

Also on Wednesday, Jefferies analysts published an insightful note titled, "Humanoid Robots Begin to Clock In"...

"Given recent advancements in materials science, battery technology and, most importantly, AI/processing, the dream of larger-scale deployments is edging closer to reality," the analysts wrote.

With humanoid robots now entering factory floors, and, as we have also pointed out, soon the battlefield, deployment of these autonomous machines in real-world commercial applications is set to ramp up this year and next. 

How to profit 

The analysts provided clients with a company breakdown of the most critical companies supplying components to humanoid robots, outlining where clients may be positioned to get the most exposure as the industry gears up for increased deployments 

Deployment Begins

The deployment timeline for these robots on factory floors is set to ramp this year and next, then accelerate sharply into the end of the decade before taking a quantum leap in the early 2030s.

Why

The analysts pointed to three structural forces set to accelerate mass adoption: 

  • Aging populations, particularly in China and other developed markets, are increasing demand for labor supplementation and assistance.

  • Declining interest in manufacturing jobs among younger generations is creating labor mismatches across global supply chains.

  • Breakthroughs in semiconductors and AI are sharply improving robot intelligence and functionality while reducing costs.

The other major breakthrough is labor cost: With workers demanding $20 to $25 per hour and much higher rates for skilled jobs, companies could operate these robots on a fully loaded basis for between $2 and $3 per hour after accounting for operating costs.

Mass adoption of these robots, with price points around $25,000 by 2030, would make them very appealing for companies looking to automate low-skilled tasks and drive down labor costs. 

The analysts noted that robots are already beginning to invade factory floors. As they wrote, "In late '24, California-based Figure AI achieved a milestone by delivering its Figure 02 humanoid robot to a paying client. Around the same time in China, UBTech Robotics began the world's first large-scale deployment of full-sized humanoid robots."

Melania walking with a humanoid robot this week may mark an early signal that the Trump administration is preparing to accelerate the American-made humanoid robotics, assuming policy support has already been drafted, which could spark an investment cycle into companies in the same field, both public and private.

Professional subscribers can read the full "From Asimov to the Assembly Line: Humanoid Robots Begin to Clock In" at our new Marketdesk.ai portal

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