事实上,你不需要把东西交给他们。
You Do Not, in Fact, Have to Hand It to Them

原始链接: https://2ndbreakfast.audreywatters.com/you-do-not-in-fact-have-to-hand-it-to-them/

## 对科技未来的一次反弹 尽管最初备受炒作,但消费者对虚拟现实和“元宇宙”等技术的兴趣已经暴跌,而美国军方仍在继续大量投资这些技术——一个设想中的场景,即美国士兵的战争保持“虚拟”状态,而其后果对其他人来说却不可见。这反映了人们对科技承诺日益增长的抵触,尤其是在人工智能和数字经济方面,许多人认为这些技术是反乌托邦且难以企及的。 最近的事件预示着一个潜在的转折点。Meta因其成瘾平台对儿童造成伤害而面临法律后果,而OpenAI关闭了一个社交视频项目,迪士尼从一家人工智能公司撤资。公众对人工智能的好感度出奇地低,甚至低于不受欢迎的政客。 这种反弹源于对科技亿万富翁设想的未来深深的不满——一个充满数字复制品、算法控制、就业岗位流失和环境破坏的未来。批评人士认为,这种未来并非不可避免,并强调该行业对不可持续做法的依赖。 “不可避免性”的说法正在受到挑战,人们日益增长的愤怒集中在该行业的反民主倾向以及对现实世界后果的漠视上,例如气候变化和人权。

## 黑客新闻讨论总结:AI 炒作与科技亿万富翁 黑客新闻的讨论围绕一篇文章展开,该文章质疑当前 AI 的炒作,并将其与失败的 Metaverse 推广相提并论。核心论点并非 AI *一定* 会失败,而是存在一种模式:科技亿万富翁推广“未来”技术(Metaverse、NFT、加密货币,现在是 AI),并伴随着夸大的承诺和对社会后果的漠视。 许多评论者争论文章是否过于关注对个人的批评,而忽略了技术本身。一些人指出,历史上倾向于基于早期失败而否定新技术(例如 WebVan 或网约车),而另一些人则强调底层技术(如 GPU)的实际应用,无论炒作如何。 一个关键点是结构性问题:这些炒作浪潮推动了对特定技术的投资(GPU),这可能使少数人受益,而公众承担了成本并缺乏监督。人们对 AI 的长期盈利能力表示怀疑,尤其是随着可访问的替代方案出现。最终,这场讨论反映了对大型科技公司及其动机的更广泛不信任,以及对快速发展的技术对社会的影响的担忧。
相关文章

原文

Way back in 2016, Mark Zuckerberg made a surprise appearance at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, memorialized in a photograph of him striding to the stage past rows of men with the Oculus Rift VR headsets strapped to their faces:

Fast forward a decade and now the founder of Oculus, Palmer Luckey, runs a military technology company which, according to Wired, wants to "own the future of war tech" – a future it will share, I suppose, with Palantir as the two comprise the cornerstone of the Trump Administration's plans to conquer/defend/surveil, to reshape global politics.

While consumers have overwhelmingly said "no thank you" to VR, the US military remains committed to a vision of high tech battles, although of course they'd only ever be "virtual" for American soldiers; the violence and death and devastation of others – soldiers and civilians alike – are always off-screen, unreal, erased, unwritten.

So VR – or at least those awful Oculus headsets and this teenage fantasy of a hero's life lived through them – aren't over. But Zuckerberg's plans for a future in which we all occupy his "metaverse" – plans so big that he had to rename Facebook to Meta – have crumbled. LOL. LOL. LOL. Again, recall that when he announced the company's virtual project, "Horizon Worlds," just five years ago, Zuckerberg declared that very soon all work and play would take place there – a prediction that, as some analysts put it, had led the company to throw billions of dollars "in the toilet."

Zuckerberg insisted that the metaverse and digital-everything-economy were the future.

And now, we hear a similar story, the insistence that "artificial intelligence" and that digital-everything-economy are the future.

And once again, this will be proven wrong.

It will be proven wrong because everybody hates it. A decade ago, people saw that photo of Zuckerberg, waltzing past the masked men at MWC and shuddered. "That's dystopian," almost everyone muttered. "That's dystopian," many of us are still saying, but now even more loudly, more fervently. A recent survey by NBC News found Americans rank the favorability of "AI" below every major politician in the country, below ICE.

Everybody hates tech. Everybody hates tech billionaires. Nobody wants their bullshit.

The future that the vast majority of people want – for themselves, for their children – is not one in which we can only afford to buy digital replicas of products and digital real estate (Facebook board member Marc Andreessen has been quite explicit about this goal) because everything that's actually real is only accessible to the rich; where we're all yanked around by algorithms; where there are no jobs; where there is no art, only slop; where there is no green space, no wilderness, no water because the planet is covered in the data centers that power this destruction.

The technology industry sells a story of inevitability. It is, in no small part, a profoundly anti-democratic story, one that dismisses if not denies any attempt at agency, let alone resistance. "There's nothing you can do," investors and CEOs and pundits parrot. "Resistance is futile," they smirk (yet another example of their incredible inability to understand the science fiction they like to reference).

Their technology, their politics, their vision of the future -- none of these are what we want. More importantly, none of this is inevitable. Indeed, if you step away from the chatbot and its sycophantic siren call -- my god, please step away from the chatbot -- you can see that their plans are deeply deeply flawed. Indeed, in places they are already falling apart.

OpenAI announced this week it was closing Sora, its video-slop social network, and Disney -- blinkered by the prospects of being able to replace the unionized labor of cartoonists and writers, no doubt -- withdrew from its billion-dollar investment in the "AI" company.

Two separate court cases -- one in New Mexico and one in California -- found Meta liable for harms to children, including sexual exploitation. In the latter case, a jury found Meta and YouTube negligent, having knowingly built products that were “addictive” and having failed to warn users of the danger.

It is too soon to tell if this is, as some have suggested, the tech industry’s “Big Tobacco” moment – a moment that forces the industry to change its marketing and its product. This may well be true for the foreseeable future as the industry is run by the world’s richest men – men who have no problem funding all sorts of anti-democratic initiatives and the politicians behind them (Google co-founder Sergei Brin recently spending $45 million to lobby against a proposed billionaire tax in California). But these jury trials make it quite clear that lots of regular folks are really really angry.

We are, no doubt, in the middle of a big backlash against social media, a backlash against education technology – although those with their noses too close to the screens might not see it as such, and although plenty of folks who get paid to talk tech are quick to recast everything about this as some sort of "moral panic." (I'll have more to say on that next week, I reckon.) But even if this particular round of revolt (resistance and revulsion) doesn’t bring about the demise of tech billionaires and their terrible terrible ideas – I mean, fingers crossed – I still will be here writing, reminding you that the future the Zuckerbergs and Musks and Karps and Andreessens and Thiels want to bring forth rests on the shakiest of foundations.

As we’ve seen since even before the resurgence of interest in “AI,” theirs is a future that relies on and reinvigorates the petroleum industry and its oligarchs. It is a future that will – if not through war then certainly through environmental devastation – destroy the planet. Meta's lawyers might sneer at the damages jury trials award them; you cannot just brush away impending climate collapse.

And as much as education wants to wrap itself in a warm rhetorical blanket of “the future!” when it embraces ed-tech and “AI,” in doing so it may also find itself, as Colm O’Neill argues, being cast a “climate criminal." In doing so, more people may come to recognize that powerful people and powerful institutions in education are hard at work undermining the future for those they're tasked with preparing for it.


One Thing Leads to Another:

  • Why exposing young children to AI content could have irreversible consequences” by Sarah Whitcombe-Dobbs in The Conversation – that is, problems with language development and social and relational functioning. And I get it: we should all be very concerned about young minds and whatnot. But I worry about old minds too (particularly as I see an increasing number of folks who appear to be utterly addled by “AI” usage). And I worry that it will be institutions like schools, like media companies, thoroughly overrun with the spirit of neoliberalism and techno-solutionism, who’ll work hard to convince us we should comply with the tech industry’s visions. Meanwhile, “How AI Is Creeping Into The New York Times” by Vauhini Vara.
  • Via Inside Higher Ed: “Canvas Unrolls AI Teaching Agent.” Supposedly this agent serves to automate what Canvas deems “low-value tasks,” and it’s certainly worth asking what exactly that means. Who has decided which educational tasks are valuable? (There is no such thing – another reminder in a newsletter full of them – as “low skill labor,” other than as a justification for low pay.) How might the tasks that are automated here actually be constitutive of the work that teachers do? Grading. Lesson design. Course design. Communication. These are the work.
  • Why AI Companies Want to Take Control of Your Computer” by John Herrman. Spoiler alert: it's more market research so as to better promise your boss that Claude can automate your job. (Related, from a couple of weeks ago, also in New York Magazine: “The Laid-off Scientists and Lawyers Training AI to Steal Their Careers.”)
In the days after the strike, the charisma of AI organised the entire political conversation around the technology: whether Claude hallucinated, whether the model was aligned, whether Anthropic bore responsibility for its deployment. The constitutional question of who authorised this war and the legal question of whether this strike constitutes a war crime were displaced by a technical question that is easier to ask and impossible to answer in the terms it set. The Claude debate absorbed the energy. That is what charisma does.

It has also occluded something deeper: the human decisions that led to the killing of between 175 and 180 people, most of them girls between the ages of seven and 12. Someone decided to compress the kill chain. Someone decided that deliberation was latency. Someone decided to build a system that produces 1,000 targeting decisions an hour and call them high-quality. Someone decided to start this war. Several hundred people are sitting on Capitol Hill, refusing to stop it. Calling it an “AI problem” gives those decisions, and those people, a place to hide.


(Image credits)

Today’s bird is the fairy pitta, a small colorful bird whose population is sharply declining due to all the threats listed above and more. (The Wikipedia article notes the dangers of hikers, photographers, and bird watchers.) The fairy pitta is a solitary bird and eats primarily earthworms, but from time-to-time, as the photo above indicates, it will choke down a beetle or two.

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