加州禁止政府官员利用内幕信息参与预测市场赌博。
California Bans Government Officials From Using Insider Knowledge To Bet On Prediction Markets

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/california-bans-government-officials-using-insider-knowledge-bet-prediction

加州州长加文·纽森周五发布行政命令,禁止州政府官员利用非公开信息在预测市场中获利。 此举是在有关联邦政府内部交易的报道之后,具体涉及在特朗普政府宣布消息之前进行的投注——包括对伊朗的潜在打击以及关于委内瑞拉的行动——使一些人获得了巨额利润(可能超过100万美元)。 纽森将该命令定义为对伦理问题的回应,以及对“内部牟利”的拒绝。 尽管州长办公室引用了具体例子,但主要的预测市场平台Kalshi澄清说,这些事件发生在*不受监管*的市场中,并且他们正在其平台上积极执行内幕交易规则。 与此同时,参议院已提出两党立法,旨在禁止在这些平台上进行体育博彩,理由是州政府对赌博法律的管辖权。 Kalshi反对该法案,认为这将只会促使用户转向不受监管的离岸网站,并扼杀竞争。

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原文

Authored by Dylan Morgan via The Epoch Times,

California Gov. Gavin Newsom on Friday issued an executive order banning state officials from using insider knowledge to profit, or assist another person in profiting, on prediction markets, effective immediately.

The governor’s office said there have been mounting reports of individuals in the federal government with access to sensitive government information placing well-timed bets ahead of major Trump administration actions. These reports are currently allegations and have yet to be verified.

Public service should not be a get-rich-quick scheme. At a time when Trump’s Washington is riddled with ethical failures and insider profiteering, California is drawing a bright line: If you serve the public as a political appointee, you serve the public—period,” Newsom said.

“We’re not going to tolerate this kind of corruption in California.”

Prediction markets are platforms that allow users to bet on real-world events, including government decisions, political events, sports, pop culture, and everything in between.

The governor’s office said that, in one example, six suspected insiders made $1.2 million betting on a U.S. strike against Iran from accounts funded only days before the strike and bet only hours before it occurred.

The governor’s office also said another person has made nearly $1 million from a 93 percent win rate on bets related to Iran and Israel.

In a separate incident, an individual made more than $400,000 betting on the U.S. military capturing former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro just hours before that occurred, according to the governor’s office.

Kalshi, one of the largest prediction market platforms, said on X in response to Newsom’s order that it already enforces insider trading violations and that these examples by the governor’s office took place on a separate, unregulated prediction market.

“Insider trading violates our rules, and we enforce them when we catch insiders,“ Kalshi said in a statement.

“Government employees should be aware that trading on federally regulated markets using material non-public information violates the law.”

Last week, on March 23, a bipartisan pair of senators went after the gambling side of prediction markets. Sens. John Curtis (R-Utah) and Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) introduced legislation aimed at banning sports betting through these platforms.

Curtis said in a statement that the measure is needed to protect state authority over gambling laws. He said the rapid expansion of these platforms exposes young people to gambling-like products that should fall under state, not federal, oversight. The legislation, he said, is intended to reaffirm states’ rights, protect consumers, and keep speculative financial products out of areas traditionally regulated as gambling.

Kalshi opposes the bill. Its spokesperson Elisabeth Diana told The Epoch Times in an emailed statement that banning sports-related prediction markets would backfire by pushing users to unregulated offshore platforms.

“It’s clear this bill is motivated by casino interests that are threatened by competition,” she said.

“They’re more worried about protecting their monopolies than protecting consumers.”

Diana said regulated prediction markets are a fairer alternative to traditional gambling because they don’t disadvantage successful users, and that competition—not protection of existing industries—should determine their future.

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