朝鲜保持与伊朗的距离,希望改善与特朗普的关系。
North Korea Keeping Iran At Arm's Length, Hoping To Improve Ties With Trump

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/north-korea-keeping-iran-arms-length-hoping-improve-ties-trump

朝鲜对乌克兰冲突和伊朗近期紧张局势的回应显示出战略上的分歧。平壤大幅加强了与俄罗斯的关系,甚至派遣军队帮助参与乌克兰战争——导致伤亡——但明显正在与伊朗保持距离。 韩国情报部门报告称,自局势升级以来,没有证据表明朝鲜向德黑兰输送武器或物资,并且公开回应普遍较为克制。与中国和俄罗斯不同,朝鲜仅发表了极少的声明,避免了对伊朗最高领导人去世的哀悼或对其继任者的祝贺。 分析人士认为,这种谨慎的做法源于平壤希望为未来与美国的谈判做好准备。与乌克兰的情况不同,朝鲜支持军事上更强大的俄罗斯,可能认为这种结盟是安全的。相比之下,面对伊朗与美国和以色列之间巨大的力量失衡,朝鲜似乎正在优先考虑与华盛顿潜在的未来关系。

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原文

When the Ukraine war began over four years ago, North Korea only deepened its relations and defense cooperation with Moscow. Later into the conflict, it even sent thousands of troops to assist Russian military and security forces - and an undisclosed number of DPRK troops died or suffered wounds while fighting Ukraine.

When it comes to Iran, many pundits assumed Pyongyang might also do something similar in defense of Tehran, give the Middle East nation and fellow 'rogue' ally is under US and Israeli bombs; however, there are signs North Korea is actually distancing itself in this case.

via Reuters

Seoul’s National Intelligence Service (NIS) sees no evidence that North Korea has sent weapons or supplies to Tehran since since Trump's Operation Epic Fury began, and is even remaining far away from such a move.

Lawmaker Park Sun-won, who attended a closed-door briefing held by the NIS, described Sunday that North Korea is not at all rushing to the Islamic Republic's aid.

This is also consistent with the Kim Jong Un government's public statements on the crisis, which have by and large been mute:

While Iran’s other allies China and Russia have frequently issued statements on the US-Israel war on Iran, North Korea’s Foreign Ministry has only issued two toned-down statements so far, said the NIS.

While Pyongyang did condemn the US and Israeli attacks on Iran as illegal, it did not issue public condolences after Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death or send a congratulatory message when Khamenei’s son, Mojtaba Khamenei, succeeded him.

The spy agency said Pyongyang is likely adopting this cautious approach to position it for a new diplomatic chapter with the US once the Middle East conflict subsides, said Park.

Trump actually mentioned North Korea several times in Monday remarks from the White House on the Iran situation. He charged that a certain past president failed to act properly to prevent Pyongyang from going nuclear - and that the last several presided did as well.

He concluded that Kim Jong Un would not have nuclear weapons if that job was done right. The said that they are afraid to take "strong action".

It could be that Pyongyang is staying on the sidelines, and not offering direct support to its ally the Islamic Republic, given the obvious mismatch in military strength as the Iranians get pummeled by superior US aerial firepower.

In the case of Russa-Ukraine it is the opposite - where North Korea is on the side of the militarily stronger power and so perhaps feels more at east supporting its ally Moscow in such a context.

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