标准普尔下调新奥尔良信用评级,理由是“结构性运营失衡”。
S&P Slashes New Orleans' Credit Rating On "Structurally Imbalanced Operations"

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/sp-slashes-new-orleans-credit-rating-structurally-imbalanced-operations

新奥尔良正面临日益严重的财政危机,最近从标准普尔全球评级公司那里收到了信用评级下调至BBB+,并附带负面展望。此前,穆迪也进行了类似的双降级,预示着投资者风险增加。评级机构引用了结构性财政失衡、储备金下降以及依赖临时措施(如借款和冻结招聘)来弥补2025年预计的1.6亿美元赤字。 分析师担心,鉴于过去预测不准确的历史,该市对未来平衡预算的预测可能过于乐观。新奥尔良已经几十年由民主党领导,上一次共和党市长任职于1872年,当前的财政困境在此政治背景下被突出。降级预示着未来债券销售可能面临困难,并强调了该市在实现长期财政稳定方面所面临的重大挑战。

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原文

New Orleans, home to Mardi Gras and muffulettas, has been governed by Democrats for decades, so it should come as little surprise that S&P Global Ratings has slashed the city's obligation rating to the third-lowest level of investment grade and placed it on a negative outlook.

S&P Global Ratings cut New Orleans' general obligation rating by one notch to BBB+ with a negative outlook, citing structurally imbalanced finances, shrinking reserves, and growing reliance on one-time desperate measures to meet cash needs.

"The downgrade and negative outlook reflect the city's structurally imbalanced operations, declining reserves and liquidity, and need to rely on multiple one-time measures to meet short-term cash needs, including additional borrowing for operating liquidity," S&P Global Ratings analysts Alex Louie and Sarah Sullivant wrote in the report.

The downgrade serves as a warning of worsening fiscal strain, with the city projecting a $160 million deficit in fiscal 2025 and continuing to rely on stopgap measures, including borrowing to maintain operating liquidity, tapping external funds, and maintaining hiring freezes and furloughs.

The analysts continued, "Despite these measures, we believe the city still faces substantial challenges in achieving those goals and has a history of management projections not meeting actual audited results."

In February, Moody's downgraded the city's credit rating by two notches to the bottom of investment grade and warned investors about risks to future bond sales amid a budget crisis.

New Orleans' rapidly deteriorating credit profile comes as no surprise, given that Democrats have governed the metro area for a generation.

Here is the list of the mayors:

  • Helena Moreno, 2026 to present, Democrat

  • LaToya Cantrell, 2018 to 2026, Democrat

  • Mitch Landrieu, 2010 to 2018, Democrat

  • Ray Nagin, 2002 to 2010, Democrat, after previously switching from the Republican Party

  • Marc Morial, 1994 to 2002, Democrat

  • Sidney Barthelemy, 1986 to 1994, Democrat

  • Ernest N. Morial, 1978 to 1986, Democrat

  • Moon Landrieu, 1970 to 1978, Democrat

S&P Global Ratings analysts noted that although the city expects balanced operations in 2027, "given the city's significant budget and operational challenges, achieving structural balance could take longer."

For some history, the last Republican mayor of New Orleans was Benjamin Flanders, who served from 1870 to 1872.

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