海面变化:美国成年人对以色列“非常不利”的看法三倍增长。
Sea Change: 'Very Unfavorable' Views of Israel Triple Among US Adults

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/sea-change-very-unfavorable-views-israel-triple-among-us-adults

最近的一项皮尤研究调查显示,美国对以色列的好感度显著下降,目前60%的人持有负面看法——较2022年下降了18个百分点。 值得注意的是,持有*非常*负面看法的人数增加到28%,是之前的三倍。 这一转变与美国-以色列冲突,包括伊朗和以色列在加沙的行动同时发生。 内塔尼亚胡总理的支持率也下降了,59%的美国人对他作为全球领导人的信任度不足。 存在着明显的党派分歧:80%的民主党人对以色列持有负面看法,而共和党人中这一比例为41%。 值得注意的是,大多数(57%)的50岁以下共和党人现在持有负面看法,这可能预示着共和党对以色列的支持未来会减少。 宗教信仰也会影响观点,白人福音派和犹太美国人仍然是最支持以色列的群体。 美国人对特朗普处理美以关系的能力的信心总体较低,尤其是在民主党人和年轻共和党人中。 调查表明,以色列在加沙的行动以及与伊朗的战争是导致公众舆论下降的关键因素。

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原文

Amid a major war on Iran waged in partnership with the United States, Israel's reputation among Americans has continued to deteriorate, with 60% of US adults viewing Israel unfavorably. That's a hefty 18-point increase from 2022, according to a new survey from Pew Research. Over the same stretch, Israel's "favorable" share cratered by 18 points.  

While the top-line unfavorable rating is bad news for Israel, things are even worse when you look under the hood: The proportion of Americans who have a very unfavorable view of Israel now stands at 28% -- triple what it was in 2022.  

Alongside his country's sagging standing with the US public, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is also increasingly unpopular, as 59% of American adults have little or no trust that he will "do the right thing regarding world affairs," also a seven-point worsening from last year's finding. 

Pew conducted the survey during the week of March 23-29, roughly a month into the US-Israeli war on Iran, but a few weeks before this week's brinksmanship --which had many fearing a years-long global economic catastrophe if President Trump followed through on his threats to eradicate Iran's "whole civilization" and Iran carried out its promised destruction of energy and water infrastructure around the Persian Gulf.   

There continue to be significant differences between Americans who associate themselves with the Democratic Party and those who are Republicans or Republican "leaners." A whopping 80% of Democrats have an unfavorable or very unfavorable view of Israel, almost doubling the 41% of Republicans who feel that way. In what may be the most significant sub-trend in US-Israeli politics, a solid 57% majority of Republicans under age 50 now have a negative view of Israel. Unless that turns around, this suggests that the GOP's status as a fortress of Israeli support will soon be a thing of the past. Republicans are split on Netanyahu: 45% have some or a lot of confidence in him, while 44% have little or no confidence.  

There are also interesting contrasts by religious affiliation. Here's the percent that have mostly positive views of Israel: 

  • White Evangelical Protestants: 65%
  • Jewish Americans: 64%
  • White Non-Evangelical Protestants: 39%
  • Catholics: 35%
  • Black Protestants: 33%
  • Unaffiliated/Atheist/Agnostic/"Nothing In Particular": 22%

As for Trump's handling of the US-Israel relationship, 55% lack confidence in him to make good decisions. Here again, party differences are huge: Only 16% of Democrats are confident in Trump's management of the relationship, compared to 73% of Republicans. Here again, a huge difference within the GOP across age cohorts:  Only 52% of Republicans under 30 are confident in Trump's decision-making vis a vis Israel, compared to an overwhelming 93% of those 65 and older. 

While Pew didn't explore the drivers of Israel's steadily-sagging standing with Americans, it's safe to say that Israel's wholesale destruction of Gaza and skepticism over the rationale for US-Israeli warfare on Iran last summer and again this year have played a big part.  

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