气象学家警告超强厄尔尼诺事件
Meteorologists Warn About Super El Nino Event

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/meteorologists-warn-about-super-el-nino-event

预测今年可能会出现强烈的厄尔尼诺现象,到10月有75%的可能性发展成“超级”厄尔尼诺——可能是一百多年来最强的一次。目前的模型显示,到8月有80%的概率出现强厄尔尼诺现象,至少有98%的概率出现中等强度厄尔尼诺现象。 厄尔尼诺通常会改变全球天气模式,可能给一些地区带来更严重的洪涝,给另一些地区带来干旱/野火,以及全球气温上升。在美国,预计更强的喷射气流将导致南方地区降水增多,包括加利福尼亚州和墨西哥湾沿岸。相反,厄尔尼诺通常会*减少*大西洋飓风活动。 文章还包含对气候变化报道动机的质疑,并强调了一些气候活动家的关注点转变。然而,核心信息集中在厄尔尼诺发展可能造成的重大天气破坏。

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原文

Weather forecasters are sounding the alarm about what could become a "super" El Niño event, potentially one of the strongest on record.

"Strongest El Niño on record this year?!" meteorologist Ben Noll wrote on X. Noll said the latest ECMWF outlook indicates a 75% chance of a super El Niño by October, with "some scenarios suggesting the most intense event in more than a century."

Noll said, "El Niño forming by May, potentially becoming strong by August — new ECMWF seasonal modeling."

Latest El Niño odds:

  • 22% chance of a super El Niño by August

  • 80% chance of a strong event

  • 98% chance of a moderate event

Meteorologist Ryan Maue noted:

Impacts for agri traders:

If that scenario materializes, it could shift weather patterns worldwide, increasing the risk of flooding in some regions, drought and wildfires in others, and further raising global temperatures. An El Niño event typically strengthens the Pacific jet stream and redistributes heat and moisture globally.

Across the U.S., an El Niño influences seasonal rainfall, especially during winter. The stronger, more active jet stream typically shifts south, bringing wetter-than-average conditions to the southern U.S., including California, the Gulf Coast, and the Mid-South.

The good news is that El Niño reduces Atlantic hurricane activity.

Remember, left-wing corporate media is just a few months away from firing up the "hottest ever" global warming headlines to peddle junk climate science.

Global warming doomers, such as Greta, have shifted more recently from climate alarmism to Palestine activism. It is all about following the money. 

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