“三页和平计划”:油价暴跌,美国据报考虑200亿美元现金换核协议
'Three-Page Plan To End The War': Oil Tumbles As US Reportedly 'Mulls' $20BN Cash-For-Nukes Deal

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/three-page-plan-end-war-oil-tumbles-us-reportedly-mulls-20bn-cash-nukes-deal

最近的进展表明,美国和伊朗之间的紧张局势可能出现缓和。伊朗宣布黎巴嫩停火后,霍尔木兹海峡对商业船只完全开放,导致油价大幅下跌。 据报道,双方正在就一项三页协议进行谈判,该协议包括伊朗对核浓缩的“自愿”暂停——目前美国要求为20年,伊朗提出5年。协议的关键在于伊朗放弃其浓缩铀储备(近2000公斤,包括高浓缩材料),以换取约200亿美元的冻结伊朗资金释放。 该协议还将允许伊朗继续进行用于生产医疗同位素的核研究,但要求所有设施都建在地面之上。进一步的谈判计划于本周末举行,特朗普总统表示对达成最终协议持乐观态度。

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原文

In a rather shocking turn of events, Iran's Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Aragchi posted on X that the Strait of Hormuz is open:

"In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire, on the coordinated route as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organisation of the Islamic Rep. of Iran."

Oil crashed even lower on the report...

Are we getting close to 'Mission Accomplished'?

According to two U.S. officials and two additional sources briefed on the talks, Axios' Barak Ravid reports that the US and Iran are negotiating over a three-page plan to end the war.

The three-page memorandum of understanding (MOU) the two sides are negotiating over also includes a "voluntary" moratorium on nuclear enrichment by Iran.

The U.S. demanded in the last round of talks that Iran agree to a 20-year moratorium. Iran countered with five years. The mediators are still trying to close the gap.

As part of the MOU, Iran would be allowed to have nuclear research reactors for the production of medical isotopes, but would pledge that all of its nuclear facilities would be above ground.

The existing underground facilities would remain out of commission.

Perhaps the most notable element under discussion being that the U.S. would release $20 billion in frozen Iranian funds in return for Iran giving up its stockpile of enriched uranium.

Axios adds that a top priority for the Trump admin is ensuring Iran can't access the stockpile of nearly 2,000kg of enriched uranium buried in its underground nuclear facilities, in particular the 450kg enriched to 60% purity.

The Iranians, meanwhile, need money.

The parties are negotiating over what will happen to the stockpile, and how much of Iran's assets will be unfrozen. They are also discussing the terms on which Iran could use that money.

WTI Crude front-month oil futures prices are tumbling on the report, down over 11% - back near post-ceasefire lows...

President Trump said Thursday that U.S. and Iranian negotiators would likely meet this weekend for a second round of talks to try to seal the deal.

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