美国航空关闭与联合航空合并谈判,富国银行暗示可能出现另一项潜在合作。
American Airlines Shuts Down United Merger Talk As Wells Fargo Signals Another Possible Tie-Up

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/american-airlines-shuts-down-united-merger-talk-wells-fargo-signals-another-possible-tie

航空业经历了一个动荡的一周。精神航空面临潜在清算,并据报道已向特朗普政府请求纾困。与此同时,霍尔木兹海峡的重新开放导致喷气燃料价格暴跌,提振了航空公司股票。 合并谈判占据了头条,联合航空首席执行官斯科特·柯比向特朗普总统提出了与美国航空合并的方案,但美国航空迅速拒绝了这一想法,理由是担心竞争和反垄断法。分析师现在认为,联合航空可能会寻求与达美航空合作,或者可能将目标锁定捷蓝航空。 展望未来,精神航空的命运仍然岌岌可危,并计划与交通部长会面。该行业还将密切关注联合航空是否会改变其合并重点,同时受益于燃料价格的当前下跌,此前燃料价格曾经历了一段时间的上涨。

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原文

Certainly this past week saw several key stories in the aviation world.

First came the story that Spirit Airlines could be liquidated at any moment, only to be followed later in the week by reports that the budget carrier had asked the Trump administration for an emergency bailout.

Then, of course, came the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz late in the week, which sent jet fuel prices in New York sharply lower and airline stocks soaring...

It now appears that American Airlines has rejected United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby's idea to merge the two carriers. Kirby recently pitched President Trump on the tie-up.

American told The New York Times in a statement that it was "not engaged with or interested" in the merger idea pitched by CEO Kirby.

"While changes in the broader airline marketplace may be necessary, a combination with United would be negative for competition and for consumers, and therefore inconsistent with our understanding of the administration's philosophy toward the industry and principles of antitrust law," American said, adding, "Our focus will remain on executing on our strategic objectives and positioning American to win for the long term."

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters earlier this week that the merger was "not something the president or the White House has an opinion on or is weighing in on at this time."

Wells Fargo analyst Christian Wetherbee told clients that the American-United merger was unlikely, but on his radar was "an opportunity for United and Delta." 

"This idea furthers our belief that the fuel shock presents an opportunity for United and Delta to emerge better positioned, potentially suggesting upside to out-year estimates," Wetherbee said.

He noted a potential merger between United and American could be too large, as the combined carrier would control around 40% of domestic capacity without divestitures.

As an alternative, Wetherbee suggested JetBlue could emerge as a smaller, more realistic target if American rejected United, giving United valuable assets in New York and Florida with less regulatory fallout.

Some analysts have already described the airline industry as highly consolidated and a classic oligopoly.

On our radar next week: Spirit's meeting with Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy, along with the carrier's uncertain fate as creditors could pull the plug at any moment. Attention will also shift to United and whether, after being rejected by American, it makes a move toward Delta. Meanwhile, jet fuel prices in New York are plunging, a welcome development for airlines after four weeks of soaring prices that led some carriers to hike bag fees and ticket prices to offset fuel costs.

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