你希望美国在人工智能领域“获胜”吗?
Do you want the US to "win" AI?

原始链接: https://geohot.github.io//blog/jekyll/update/2026/04/23/us-win-ai.html

尽管表面上与埃隆·马斯克等“新封建主义”科技领袖的目标似乎一致,作者对他们目前的走向深感不满。这种超大规模项目和杠杆控制的愿景,无论个人权力如何,都令人感到反乌托邦。作者更倾向于一种对技术更为细致的方法,以山姆·奥特曼(尽管有缺点)为代表,他优先构建人们真正喜欢的产品,这与马斯克的闭源方法形成对比。 一个主要担忧是Anthropic(从OpenAI分拆出来)等公司利用恐吓宣传来吸引关注的模式。更广泛地说,作者质疑马斯克的人工智能愿景对社会的影响——在可能沦为全民基本收入和数字逃避主义的世界里,普通人如何生存? 作者提倡通过*所有权*实现人工智能的可访问性,而不是受限制的API,并敦促人们批判性地评估科技公司:他们是在*投资你*,还是*从你身上榨取*?最终,如果人工智能不能使每个人受益,那么这不是一个值得追求的未来,重点应该放在构建一个人工智能赋能个人、而非巩固权力的未来。

## AI“获胜”与控制担忧 一篇geohot.github.io文章引发了Hacker News的讨论,探讨美国*是否应该*“赢得”人工智能竞赛。压倒性的观点反对民族主义的“获胜”,许多评论者提倡**分散式、开源的AI开发**,以确保公平的访问。 担忧集中在少数亿万富翁和大型科技公司(如Meta,尽管其有Llama模型)手中AI力量的集中。一些人认为,当前的AI投资更多的是关于强大实体之间的竞争策略,而非国家进步。 许多人对美国领导层表示不信任,理由是政治不稳定和优先考虑短期利润。甚至有人认为**中国可能更负责任地管理AI**,因为其具有长远规划和遵守(即使是表面上的)法治。一个反复出现的主题是对AI驱动的广告和控制主导的反乌托邦未来的恐惧,以及对失业和自由侵蚀的担忧。最终,这场讨论强调了人们对AI发展的渴望,希望它能造福全人类,而不是服务于少数人的利益。
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原文

By all accounts, I should be a neofeudalist. I should love what’s happening. The AI I dreamed of my whole life is being built, engineer-type strongmen are sort of in charge, and people are saying out loud the things I have just thought. You might argue that I like it and I’m just not happy with my seat at the table. I ask myself a lot if this is true, like what if I was Elon. Would I be enjoying it then from that position?

Of course it’s impossible to know for sure, but I think I really wouldn’t. Even the ideal version, industrial megaprojects at hyperhuman scale while constantly being out over your skis with leverage sounds hellish. It’s not a society I want to live in, regardless of my seat. I would much prefer someone like this design society, with careful nuanced takes about technology.

When I see the lawsuit between Elon and Sam Altman, I’m probably rooting for Sam. Not because he is great, I mean, he did steal a charity. But what were Elon’s plans for it? At least Sam fundamentally is a product guy who I believe actually does delight in building products people love. Elon on the other hand? None of his stuff is seriously open source, and it’s not that he lacks opportunity to do it. He just doesn’t value it. I can hear the rabid Elon fan defending him about Tesla patents or the Twitter algorithm or something, but those are not serious open source projects. They are not institutions, even compared to Kubernetes and React, never mind compared to Linux and ffmpeg.

He isn’t Dario EA levels of evil, like the EA people have a plan for you and it’s never good when someone has a plan for you. You know, the Mythos fear based marketing campaign is not the first time the Anthropic people have done this. They did the exact same thing in 2019 for GPT-2 XL. As soon as they get any attention it’s like they can’t help themselves. And you might say, oh, that was OpenAI, but that was 2019 and Anthropic spun out of OpenAI in 2021. IT’S LITERALLY THE EXACT SAME PEOPLE DOING THE SAME EXACT SHIT. I just can’t believe anyone is falling for it. Hopefully we get to a day when we just laugh at people like this and tell them to go save some shrimp or something. I feel bad for the shrimp that the EAs have a plan for them.


But back outside the land of cartoonish villians, I don’t understand Elon’s worldview when it comes to AI. How does a normal person fit into Elon’s world? What institutions will Elon leave behind? Is there any value in that society to art and culture? Or will we all just spend our days receiving universal high income and gooning to Ani? Like that isn’t a vision of a society I want to be a part of.

It works for Mars. I think there’s so much value in colonizing Mars, and it’s sad to me to see SpaceX diluting the mission buying up random AI bubble crap. Mars takes hard people in a hard society. Earth doesn’t. If AI doesn’t work for normal people, I don’t want it and you shouldn’t either.

It is coming, and the anti AI people would do poorly to bury their heads in the sand. Doing that won’t stop AI from being built. The good world is where everyone has AI, and not as a revokable privilege through an API, but through hard possession. Pay attention to who is releasing AI to the world and who has released nothing, then think about who the good guys are.


As an American, is this an investment into helping you and improving your life, or figuring out how to take your job and further extract from you? I think most Americans have been watching tech companies for the last 10 years and understand which one it is. They aren’t going to get better with more power, they are going to get worse.

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