巴西禁止27个预测平台，包括Kalshi和Polymarket。

巴西禁止27个预测平台，包括Kalshi和Polymarket。
Kalshi, Polymarket Among 27 Prediction Platforms Banned In Brazil

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/kalshi-polymarket-among-27-prediction-platforms-banned-brazil

巴西当局已关闭27个预测市场平台，包括Kalshi、Polymarket，甚至Robinhood的预测功能。此次打击行动由财政部主导，Anatel负责执行，原因是这些平台被认为在巴西的法律框架之外运营。新的法规于五月生效，严格限制允许的合约类型，*仅*限于与经济指标（通货膨胀、利率等）相关的合约，禁止与体育、政治或娱乐相关的合约——将其归类为赌博。官员们表示，此举是为了解决日益增长的家庭债务和用户潜在的财务风险。此举与全球对预测市场日益严格的审查和禁令趋势一致，在一些欧洲国家已经出现。美国的情况更为复杂，联邦和州监管机构之间存在持续的争论。巴西的行动旨在规范此前不受监管的行业，并保护公民免受 perceived 的财务风险。

原文

Authored by Amin Haqshanas via CoinTelegraph.com,

Brazilian authorities have moved to shut down 27 prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket.

The decision, announced Friday, follows a directive from the Ministry of Finance and enforcement by the National Telecommunications Agency (Anatel), according to state-owned news outlet Agência Brasil. Authorities claimed that such services fall outside Brazil’s current legal framework and therefore operate illegally.

“We have been monitoring the evolution of this sector in Brazil, which suffered a period of anarchy because there were no rules, no oversight, from 2018 to 2022,” Finance Ministry executive secretary Dario Durigan reportedly said during a press conference at the Palácio do Planalto.

The crackdown follows Resolution 5.298 issued by Brazil’s National Monetary Council (CMN) on Friday, which takes effect in early May and sharply limits what prediction market platforms can offer. Under the new rules, contracts tied to sports, politics, entertainment, or social events are banned, as authorities consider them closer to gambling than financial investments.

Only contracts linked to economic indicators, such as inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, or commodity prices, will remain allowed and fall under financial market oversight.

Brazil flags prediction platforms as debt risk

Durigan claimed that prediction markets could deepen household debt and expose users to financial harm. “At a time when we are working to reduce debt levels among families, small businesses, and students, we must also prevent new forms of harmful indebtedness,” he said.

The blocked platforms include a mix of international and Brazil-focused services, with major names including Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Robinhood (via its forecasting feature) and Fanatics Markets.

Banned prediction markets in Brazil. Source: Agência Brasil

Other affected platforms include ProphetX, Hedgehog Markets, Novig, Polyswipe, PRED Exchange and Stride, alongside several Brazil-focused services such as Palpita, Cravei, Previsao, and MercadoPred.

More countries ban prediction markets

A growing number of jurisdictions have moved to ban prediction markets, often folding them into gambling or financial regulations. Several European nations, including France, Belgium and the Netherlands, have blocked or penalized platforms operating without authorization.

In the United States, the situation is more fragmented, with an ongoing tug-of-war between federal regulators and individual states over prediction markets.