布伦特油价逼近伊朗战争高点,特朗普下令“全面封锁”,并威胁“不再心慈手软”
Brent Nears Iran War Highs After Trump Orders "Extended Blockade", Threatens "No More Mr. Nice Guy"

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/brent-nears-iran-war-highs-after-trump-orders-extended-blockade-threatens-no-more-mr

与伊朗的紧张关系正在升级,这受到前总统特朗普日益强硬的言论的影响。他警告伊朗“要明智”,并重申“不再扮好人”的立场,同时配以暗示军事准备的图像。与此同时,白宫据报道正在准备对伊朗港口进行长期封锁,旨在削弱其经济并迫使其在核问题上做出让步。 这种情况正在影响全球石油市场,布伦特原油价格逼近每桶 115 美元——这是自 2022 年 6 月以来未曾见过的水平——原因是人们担心战略要道霍尔木兹海峡的供应中断。虽然白宫保持与德黑兰的沟通渠道,但它坚持伊朗绝不能获得核武器。 尽管特朗普采取了强硬姿态,但 Polymarket 的一项民意调查显示,67% 的人认为美国在 2027 年之前发动入侵的可能性不大。与此同时,伊朗提议在讨论核问题*之前*解除封锁,但美国拒绝了这一条件。巴基斯坦正在进行持续的调解努力,试图弥合差距,但局势仍然高度不稳定。

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原文

Summary

  • Trump warns Iran to "get their act together" and to "get smart" - and for the second time writes "no more Mr. Nice Guy".

  • Brent Crude nears Iran war high of $115 per barrel & highest since June 2022.

  • Trump in 4am Truth Social post: "Iran can't get their act together. They don't know how to sign a nonnuclear deal. They better get smart soon!"

  • Fresh White House statement indicates communication still open with Tehran, but still says "Iran can never possess a nuclear weapon."

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 34% · No 67%
View full market & trade on Polymarket

*  *  *

Brent Crude, Iran War High

Brent crude oil has neared $115 per barrel, which is the high of the Iran war and the highest level since June 2022, driven by the ongoing Hormuz Strait blockade and standoff, and war fears - in a seventh straight session of gains.

This latest move higher follows Tuesday night's WSJ report that the US plans to extend its blockade of Iranian ports, intensifying fears of prolonged disruption through the strategically critical Strait of Hormuz. 

As a reminder, the president has told aides and his staff that he's prepared to implement an extended blockade:

President Trump has instructed aides to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran, U.S. officials said, targeting the regime’s coffers in a high-risk bid to compel a nuclear capitulation Tehran has long refused.

In recent meetings, including a Monday discussion in the Situation Room, Trump opted to continue squeezing Iran’s economy and oil exports by preventing shipping to and from its ports. He assessed that his other options—resume bombing or walk away from the conflict—carried more risk than maintaining the blockade, officials said.

4am Truth Social

This isn't exactly a 'new' threat, as it's something he said on April 19 as well, but President Trump in a 4am Truth Social post warned Iran to "get smart soon" as the White House reviews military options for the Strait of Hormuz.

"Iran can't get their act together. They don't know how to sign a nonnuclear deal. They better get smart soon!" Trump wrote early Wednesday, alongside an image showing him with a weapon and the message "NO MORE MR. NICE GUY!"

Members of Trump's national security team presented multiple options during a Situation Room meeting this week, including whether to increase or reduce the US military presence in the strait and whether to adopt a more aggressive operational posture, NBC News reported, citing an unnamed US official and a person familiar with the discussions. According to the WSJ Tuesday evening, the president has told aides and his staff that he's prepared to implement an extended blockade.

WH still Communicating With Tehran

And yet, the White House says negotiators are still in communication with the Iranians, who are "struggling to sort out their leadership situation" amid the war. Trump on Tuesday claimed Tehran officials told him the country is in a "State of Collapse" - though obviously it's highly dubious they would communicate that to him.

White House spokesperson Anna Kelly told media that Trump would only enter into an agreement with Iran that "puts US national security first" and that "He has been clear that Iran can never possess a nuclear weapon." However, the Iranians themselves have made it clear they would never just transfer their enriched uranium out of the country. Their latest proposal has centered on lifting the blockade on the Strait of Hormuz first, and then leaving the nuclear issues for future negotiation after the war is resolved.

More Latest Developments

via Newsquawk

  • Donald Trump told officials to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran, The Wall Street Journal reported citing sources; Trump has opted to keep squeezing Iran’s economy, judging other options as higher risk than maintaining the blockade.
  • Trump posted, “Iran can’t get their act together. They don’t know how to sign a nonnuclear deal. They better get smart soon! President DJT,” alongside an image of himself holding a rifle with explosions behind him and the caption “NO MORE MR. NICE GUY!”.
  • Trump said the US is “doing very well in the Middle East,” adding that King Charles III agrees Iran cannot have a nuclear bomb.
  • Iran’s Vice Chairman of the National Security Council Alaeddin Boroujerdi said negotiations are being handled directly by Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who “personally manages” them.
  • Iran pushed back on US claims regarding pipeline explosions, Islamic Republic News Agency reported.
  • A senior Pakistani official said mediation efforts continue, working to narrow the gap between the US and Iran.
  • Scott Bessent said the Treasury has targeted Iran’s financial infrastructure, disrupting tens of billions in revenue; Kharg Island is nearing maximum storage capacity, forcing Iran to cut oil production.
  • The Israeli army carried out a large-scale bombing operation east of Gaza City.
  • The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said new capabilities are ready to counter any new US attack, Press TV reported.
  • Israel Hayom reported that Israel may accept a limited ceasefire with Lebanon contingent on Hezbollah’s disbandment, according to Al Hadath.
  • An Israeli army commander said, “we are not talking about destroying terrorist infrastructure in southern Lebanon, but rather destroying everything,” according to Haaretz.
  • A political aide to the IRGC said, “we will respond to any new aggression with surprises and new capabilities, will burn America's giant ships at sea if they miscalculate again,” Al Jazeera Mubasher reported.
  • Sanae Takaichi said Japan will engage with Iran to ensure safe passage of ships.
  • The US Treasury has frozen $344 million in crypto linked to Iran, Fox Business reported citing officials.
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