记忆棒价格居高不下
Memory Stick Prices Refuse To Come Back To Earth

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/memory-stick-prices-refuse-come-back-earth

苹果公司首席执行官蒂姆·库克最近警告说,全球内存短缺情况正在恶化,这呼应了Meta和微软对成本上升影响其业务的担忧。 核心问题是什么?人工智能数据中心的需求激增超过了供应,导致DRAM和NAND内存的价格上涨。 分析师现在预测,到2026年,DRAM价格可能上涨高达280%(高于之前的估计),NAND的价格预计也会上涨,但幅度略低。 这将转化为消费者价格的大幅上涨——例如,G.Skill Trident Z5 RGB系列DDR5内存套装的价格从9月份的149美元上涨到4月份的869美元。 内存制造商如美光、三星和SK海力士正在扩大产能,但预计缓解情况不会很快到来。 供应紧张预计将持续到2027年,使得在不久的将来组装电脑和其他设备的负担能力变得不确定。

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原文

Apple CEO Tim Cook's warning during Thursday evening's earnings call about the deepening global memory shortage sent us back to review memory stick prices.

Let's review what Cook said…

"We believe memory costs will drive an increasing impact on our business," Cook told analysts, while also warning about "supply constraints." He added, "We'll continue to evaluate this."

It wasn't just Cook warning about memory prices this week. Meta and Microsoft also noted in their earnings results that higher prices contributed to their elevated capital expenditures.

Memory makers Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix have all been racing to add new capacity as AI data centers absorb an ever-larger share of memory sticks, which are typically used in PCs and smartphones.

Comments from Cook and other Big Tech firms this week about the dire situation prompted us to check the latest prices amid the memory crunch.

Goldman analyst Kenta Kinuhata provided the most recent cost breakdown of memory prices.

Biggest changes:

  • DRAM: 2026 price increase estimate jumped from about 150% to 250% to 280%. Supply tightness now extends into late 2026 and early 2027.

  • NAND: 2026 price increase estimate jumped from about 100% to 200% to 250%. Like DRAM, supply is now expected to stay tighter for longer.

Pricing

Amazon price-tracking website CamelCamelCamel shows that pricing for the "G.SKILL Trident Z5 RGB Series DDR5 RAM" was around $869 at the end of April. This is up from $149 in early September.

The big question is when does all this new memory capacity finally hit the market and relieve the supply crunch enough to make building trading desktops affordable again?

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