德、法、英三国认为存在不依赖华盛顿重启普京会谈的契机
Germany, France, UK See Opportunity To Revive Putin Talks Without Washington

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/germany-france-uk-see-opportunity-revive-putin-talks-without-washington

“E3”集团(德国、法国和英国)正试图为乌克兰与俄罗斯之间的和平谈判启动一项新框架。欧洲领导人认为,近期战场上的势头——包括乌克兰有效的跨境无人机打击——增强了基辅的谈判筹码,对话的窗口正在显现。 在5月下旬与泽连斯基总统举行高层会晤后,欧洲大国寻求在和平努力中发挥主导作用,这标志着欧洲正从以美国为主导的战略中转向,而华盛顿目前正专注于其他全球优先事项。泽连斯基总统已表示愿意与弗拉基米尔·普京直接接触,尽管欧洲官员告诫称,正式会谈仍需数月时间,且在很大程度上取决于持续变化的战场局势。 虽然E3旨在确立其对地区安全的影响力,但莫斯科是否会参与仍存在巨大不确定性。目前,双方仍在升级攻击,在外交路径稳固之前,战场仍是决定筹码的主要仲裁者。尽管各方推动建立新框架,但市场情绪依然持怀疑态度,普遍认为近期实现停火的可能性不高。

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原文

Europe's most influential powers of Germany, France, and the United Kingdom are trying to again jump-start Ukraine war peace talks, collectively operating as the E3 group.

They seek to implement a new framework aimed at engaging Russian President Vladimir Putin in direct negotiations to end the war. Reuters on Wednesday reports that "A window for dialogue is slowly opening between Russia and Europe on Ukraine, ​although it is likely to be months before talks can ‌begin, a German government official said at a briefing on Wednesday."

It seems this window of opportunity is based to some degree on perceptions that the war tide and momentum is finally shifting in Ukraine's favor, given the increasing effectiveness of Ukraine's devastating cross-border drone attacks of late.

European leaders apparently view the current battlefield and political dynamics as having strengthened Kiev's bargaining position, creating what they believe is the optimal moment to press Moscow for talks.

Zelensky himself is suddenly talking about directly engaging Putin this week, saying that he's 'ready' to go to the table:

The groundwork was reportedly laid in late May, when Zelenskyy sat down for a high-stakes meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz.

The leaders have sought to revamp the entire Western negotiation strategy, presenting a fiercely united European front, at a moment the Trump administration is seen as on the sidelines, or even perhaps ambivalent and apathetic to the question of Ukraine peace.

The EU has been pushing back against external influence on selecting negotiators for peace talks, and apparently trying to wrest any potential peace framework from Washington influence. It was the US leading the way on this, but nothing has happened especially since the Iran war took prominence in the US administration's thinking.

Europe's traditional power brokers are desperate to prove they still hold the leverage to dictate the terms of their own backyard security. Whether Putin feels any compelling reason to play ball with the E3 framework remains an entirely different question of course.

But according to more from Reuters, "The German official said recent fighting indicates it is likely to take months, rather than weeks, to reach a point where ​talks could begin, and ​that it was ⁠key to ensure they were conducted in full agreement with Ukraine."

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So for now it seems the battlefield will continue to determine who has the leverage or not, as each continues inflicting more and more pain on the other. Russia's aerial attacks on Ukrainian cities have only grown more deadly and expansive. The same cam be said for Ukraine's cross-border drone attacks on Russian territory, which on Wednesday wreaked havoc on St. Petersburg.

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