瑞士将举行全民公投,以将人口上限限制在 1000 万。
Switzerland wil have a referendum to cap population at 10M

原始链接: https://www.admin.ch/en/sustainability-initiative

到2025年底,瑞士人口已达约910万,这主要得益于2002年《人员自由流动协议》签署后的劳务移民。“可持续发展倡议”旨在将常住人口限制在2050年前不超过1000万。 根据该倡议,如果人口超过950万,政府必须在庇护和家庭团聚方面实施限制措施,并可能需要重新谈判国际条约。如果突破1000万的门槛,该倡议要求终止与欧盟的《人员自由流动协议》。 联邦委员会警告称,此举将导致整个“双边协议一”一揽子方案失效,并危及瑞士在申根和都柏林协定中的参与,从而严重影响国家安全和庇护合作。有关联邦委员会的官方详细信息和解释可供进一步查阅。

瑞士即将就一项名为“可持续发展倡议”的提案举行全民公投,该提案建议将全国人口上限设定为 1000 万。如果人口接近这一上限,政府将被要求采取限制性措施,重点针对庇护和家庭团聚政策。 这一提议在 Hacker News 上引发了激烈辩论。支持者认为,这是维护国家生活质量并避免人口过剩的合理途径。相反,批评者则将该倡议视为民粹主义言论,并警告称这将实际上迫使瑞士退出申根协定和欧盟双边协议。许多评论者将其比作“瑞士版脱欧”,认为考虑到瑞士的内陆地理位置及其对邻国的经济依赖,这种孤立主义在经济和政治上可能是自杀性的。另一些人则强调了“挑选政策”所固有的紧张关系,指出限制移民必然会导致瑞士公民在欧盟内部丧失自由流动权。总体而言,讨论的焦点在于:随意设定人口上限究竟是一种明智的长期规划工具,还是一种危险的、由议程驱动的政治举措。
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原文

The initiative in brief

At the end of 2025, approximately 9.1 million people were living in Switzerland. Since the introduction of the free movement of persons in 2002, the population has grown by around 1.7 million. This is mainly due to immigration. The number of people immigrating depends primarily on the labour market. When the economy is strong, companies struggle to find enough workers within Switzerland. Companies, as well as public institutions like hospitals and care homes, often recruit the skilled workers they need from the EU.

The ‘No to a Switzerland with 10 million! (Sustainability Initiative)’ calls for a cap on the permanent resident population: Switzerland’s population must remain below 10 million until 2050. If the permanent resident population exceeds 9.5 million before 2050, the Federal Council and Parliament will need to take measures, particularly in the areas of asylum and family reunification. The Federal Council would also need to invoke or negotiate exemptions and safeguard clauses in international agreements that contribute to population growth. If the 10-million threshold is exceeded, Switzerland would have to terminate these agreements, including the one with the EU on the free movement of persons after two years. This would also render the other agreements under Bilateral Agreements I null and void. Switzerland’s participation in the EU’s Schengen and Dublin agreements would also be called into question, thereby jeopardising close cooperation in the areas of security and asylum.

Federal Council explanations

On the German, French, Italian and Romansh pages, the official explanations of the Federal Council are available in PDF format.

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