近处的与远处的怪兽
Monsters Far And Near

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/monsters-far-and-near

詹姆斯·霍华德·昆斯特勒评论了一个超现实的周末:特朗普总统在白宫举办终极格斗冠军赛(UFC)的同时,达成了一项潜在的伊朗和平协议。昆斯特勒嘲讽了华盛顿政治精英们意料之中的愤怒,他认为这些精英之所以感到沮丧,是因为那些有利可图且长期的地缘政治冲突遭到了中断。 这项拟议的协议要求伊朗放弃核计划,停止资助真主党和哈马斯等代理人恐怖组织,并保持霍尔木兹海峡的通畅。尽管昆斯特勒承认伊朗有欺骗的历史,但他认为该政权目前面临着选择:要么继续被孤立,要么通过“亚伯拉罕协议”等倡议融入全球经济。 尽管存在取得突破的可能性,昆斯特勒对速效方案仍持怀疑态度。他认为,此类闹剧无法掩盖美国深陷的“冷内战”和系统性危机。他最终主张,美国需要的是对自己内部政治腐败和社会衰退进行“清醒”的清算,而不是靠高调的娱乐活动或外交表演来“沾沾自喜”。

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原文

Authored by James Howard Kunstler,

“We used to say that we don’t know what 2050 will look like. Now it’s more like we don’t know what 2030 will look like.”

- Jesus Enrique Rosas

You must be thinking that reality is pushing its luck with the president bringing this Iran business - a war, actually, let’s face it - to a favorable conclusion around dinner time Sunday evening (yawn) and then Mr. DJT sliding directly into his seat on the White House lawn to enjoy the special 80th birthday edition of Testosterone Gone Wild, that is, a full card of tattoo-bedizend savages beating the crap out of each other UFC style, like it was a Hooters parking lot on wife-swap night. . . why, it just doesn’t get more surreal than that.

Imagine what Victoria Nuland, Robert Reich, George Stephanopoulis, Elizabeth Warren, and other good folks of that ilk must be thinking. The. . . (Sputter sputter) indelicacy of it all! A freaking peace deal, and now this low-rent spectacle of ultra-violence! Like their whole world had turned out to be the meanest, lowest, most sordid backwater of the Marvel Comics universe where no one has ever heard of chardonney. The ape-men slugging, kicking, gouging, and head-butting each other half to death is one thing. . . but to let the slip the opportunity to continue the Iran War with its downstream emoluments for another nineteen years. . . well, now that is an affront to all that is holy in the sub-basements of Foggy Bottom and the broom closets of Langley. As you read this on Monday morning the cries for impeachment will be ringing across the District of Columbia like calls to prayer in Mamdani’s Caliphate on the Hudson.

Surely, you’ll get more details on the Iran deal as Monday spins out, but the terms look not bad at all for Western Civ in the news media’s early shorthand reports:

Teheran pledges no nukes, ever, no how, no way. They will allow their cache of super-enriched uranium to be destroyed.

The Strait of Hormuz will reopen promptly, free to international shipping, no tolls, no piratical monkey-business.

No more Iran funding terrorist proxy groups. That means you Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, and sundry cadres of jihadi maniacs ‘out there’ in the world’s hotspots.

Speaking of which, Mr. Netanyahu felt the president’s wrath earlier on Sunday (once again) when he replied to a Hezbollah rocket salvo out of Lebanon with air strikes. But, hey, everybody knows that Israel always and ever answers every attack against it no matter what, because Never Again. Even Mr. Trump knows that, so the whole flap was a sort of mummery. Obviously, Hezbollah must be anxious to wreck the peace deal, since without Iran’s ongoing largess they will not know where their next meal is coming from, not to mention their next shipment of missiles. If Iran actually complies with the deal, Hezbollah can have no more support. There may soon be no more Hezbollah. (Boo-hoo.)

Which raises the next obvious concern, namely, Iran is not known for keeping its word with The Great Satan (us). There is every reason to believe that the vaunted deal is just another sorry episode of them stringing the USA along, playing us. But Mr. Trump has made it clear he reserves the option to rev up the bombers and “do a number on” the Islamic Republic if they pull a fast one on this.

For its part, Iran is crowing in its own state-controlled press that it has won the war. Iran can say whatever it wants to — world opinion will probably not be fooled — if it makes the people running the joint feel good about themselves losing a war. It’ll be Iran’s actions that matter. There’s a chance, perhaps a low-percentage chance, but a chance nonetheless, that Iran has been persuaded to stop being insane.

They do have an opportunity to put jihad aside, sell oil and pistachios to the world, and try being a normal nation for a change.

It’s asking a lot, I’m sure, but there’s a lot in it for them. If they actually showed a serious attitude adjustment, you can bet that Mr. Trump would offer help setting up bigly capital investments there, enabling new trade relations, and easing them back into a world of non-insane, sovereign polities with reality-based interests.

He already invited them to join the Abraham Accords, to establish full diplomatic relations with the other signers, embassies, direct flights, trade, tourism, and security cooperation.

So, let’s stand by and see if the Memorandum of Understanding gets signed later this week. The president is winging to Geneva for the G-7 as I write. The other parties to the deal are on their way there, too.

The face to face meet-up between the American President and whoever Iran sends to the ceremony will be more thrillingly momentous than any pairing of UFC cage fighters on the White House lawn.

In fact, I’m awfully glad that over-the-top extravaganza is done with.

The triumphalism is disconcerting.

We still have a very serious cold civil war to deal with here in the Homeyland, and a national mental health crisis that turns US daily life into a real time horror movie from sea to shining sea.

The party of “our democracy” still works avidly to overthrow the republic, and extravagant sports entertainments will not avail to make that stop.

We need perp walks and trials. . .sober business. . .a cold reckoning with our own monsters.

 

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