美国工资水平过低,已无法支撑租房者执行“30%准则”
Wages in America Are Too Low for the 30% Rule to Work for Renters Anymore

原始链接: https://www.realtor.com/advice/rent/wages-in-america-are-too-low-for-the-30-rule-to-work-for-renters-anymore/

“30% 租金准则”——即建议住房支出不超过税前收入的 30%——正越来越多地被视为一项过时的指标。虽然它作为一种历史性参考尚有价值,但却无法反映现代预算的现实情况;在现代社会,必需品、税收、养老和医疗成本的不断上涨,大大压缩了人们的实际到手收入。 该准则的主要缺陷在于其参考的是税前而非税后收入。由于使用税前数据,租房者往往会低估自己真实的财务压力,从而面临陷入“房奴”困境的风险,导致难以支付债务、储蓄和日常开支。由于每个人的财务负担(如助学贷款或育儿费用)各不相同,这种“一刀切”的比例往往不切实际。 金融专家建议用更全面的策略取代这一僵化的基准,例如“50/30/20 预算分配法”,将住房支出仅视为“必要支出”类别中的一部分。归根结底,租房者不应盲从于武断的准则,而应优先考虑住房支出是否留有足够的余地,以维持整体财务健康、储蓄目标和生活水平。面对高昂的成本,许多人已开始通过合租、搬迁或搬回原生家庭等方式进行调整。

《美国工资水平过低,已无法满足“30%租金占比”原则》一文在Hacker News上引发了关于工资停滞与住房成本飙升之间矛盾的讨论。 评论者对当前负担能力危机的根源各执一词。一些人认为高额租金是主要罪魁祸首,并指出这是一个影响包括慕尼黑在内的全球各大城市的普遍现象。另一些人则认为问题具有系统性,指出资本阶层与工薪阶层之间的差距正在不断扩大。 讨论的核心焦点是“30%原则”,即传统观点认为租金不应超过家庭收入的30%。用户指出,即便租房者能找到低廉住房以将租金控制在此比例之下,其他必要生活成本的上涨也使得基本的经济稳定难以实现。讨论还涉及了更广泛的经济因素,包括移民对工资抑制的影响,但用户对这种过于简单的解释持怀疑态度。归根结底,大家的共识是,这场危机是一个涉及收入水平与整体生活成本之间关系的复杂问题。
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原文

The 30% rent rule has been a personal finance staple for decades. It stipulates spending no more than 30% of your gross income on housing, and you should have enough left over for everything else.

But the problem with this rule is that everyday life is much more expensive than it used to be. Housing, groceries, gas, and other everyday essentials have all steadily increased at a faster pace than the average income. 

As for rent, the median asking price in the 50 largest metros registered at $1,686, $248 (17.2%) higher than the pre-pandemic level, according to the latest rent report.

All of this poses the question: Should you blindly follow the 30% rent rule in this economy? Or is it outdated?

Where the 30% rent rule came from

The 30% rent rule can be traced back to federal housing affordability guidelines that used the 30% benchmark as a way to gauge if housing costs were reasonable. Today, landlords and all the online “how much rent can I afford” calculators use it as a quick way to determine affordability.

Although this rule isn’t necessarily wrong, the reality is that modern budgets are much more complicated than they used to be, so you can’t take the 30% rent rule as a hard-and-fast guideline.

“I have seen people technically meet the 30% rule and still feel financially strained,” shares Linda Grizely, a certified financial planner and financial wellness speaker. “The pressure isn’t the rent alone; it’s the combination of rent plus everything else in their financial life."

The biggest flaw: It uses gross income, not take-home pay

One of the biggest issues with the 30% rent rule is that it’s based on your gross income—not the amount of money that actually lands in your bank account on payday.

To illustrate this flaw, let’s use some real-world numbers. According to the latest FRED data, the median household income in the U.S. is about $84,000 per year, or roughly $7,000 per month before taxes. 

Under the 30% rule, you could theoretically spend about $2,100 per month on rent if this is your income. 

But let’s take a look at what your take-home pay could be with this salary. 

Map showing the affordability decline by state as costs of living outpaced wages, based on an analysis by the Common Sense InstituteRealtor.com

If 10% of your income goes toward retirement contributions, your take-home pay drops to $75,600. If 25% of what’s left goes toward taxes, that drops it even further to $56,700. If you pay around $9,024 per year or $752 per month for health insurance premiums—the average in the U.S., according to a ValuePenguin analysis—that drops your income to $47,676.

So, this means that a household making $84,000 per year could bring home $47,676 or $3,973 per month after retirement contributions, taxes, and health insurance premiums. 

Now, that $2,100 rent payment is around 53% of your income—not 30%. What's interesting is that this hypothetical household could technically afford the median asking rent in the nation's 50 largest metro areas, which was $1,686 per month in May 2026, according to Realtor.com® data. 

In fact, 30% of this household's gross income ($2,100) is higher than the national median rent for a studio ($1,422), one-bedroom ($1,573), and even a two-bedroom apartment ($1,885). But if you have other debt payments and expenses in the mix, that may not leave a lot of wiggle room for you to cover your daily living essentials. 

When following the 30% rule can actually hurt your finances

The problem with any rule of thumb is that it treats everyone's financial situation the same. The 30% rent rule is no exception. 

For example, say you and a friend each spend 30% of your gross income on rent. However, you have no debt, a paid-off car, and excellent health insurance through your employer. Your friend, on the other hand, is juggling student loan payments, mounting childcare costs, rising insurance premiums, and credit card debt.

On paper, you’re both following the same rule. But in reality, one of you can more comfortably afford to follow the 30% rent rule than the other. And for the one who’s struggling, you could find yourself in a “house poor” situation where you’re having to rely on credit cards to get by, which can exacerbate your situation even more.

“The problem is that the rule doesn’t account for what else is happening in a person’s life,” shares Grizely. “Two people can have the exact same income and rent payment, and one may be fine while the other is barely scraping by.”

A better question: Can you still afford your life after you pay rent?

Rather than following the 30% rent rule to a T, Grizely says the better questions to answer might be: “After paying for housing, do I still have enough room to cover expenses, make progress on debt, save for emergencies, and invest for the future?”

Depending on your goals, that could mean maxing out your retirement account, building an emergency fund, taking a vacation once in a while, replacing your tires when they wear out, or paying for your kid’s soccer league. 

If you want to ditch the 30% rent rule and go with something more modern, many experts recommend following the popular 50/30/20 budgeting method. 

Instead of focusing solely on rent, this budgeting method encourages you to treat all of your mandatory living expenses as one large category. 

For example, you would aim to spend 50% of your take-home pay on needs, 30% on wants, and 20% on savings and debt repayment. 

With this approach, rent is just one piece of your overall financial picture rather than a standalone target. So, theoretically, you could spend more than 30% of your income on housing if your overall “needs” category stayed around 50%.

The trade-offs many renters are making today

The 30% rent rule can still be a helpful starting point. The problem is that many renters no longer live in a world where sticking to it is realistic.

As a result, people are making trade-offs by living with roommates, choosing smaller apartments, relocating farther away from city centers, and moving back in with parents, among other adjustments. 

In fact, a recent SpareFoot survey found that 58% of young adults who moved out of their parents' homes later moved back in, and 3 in 4 viewed it as a smart financial strategy rather than a setback. The survey also found that housing costs were the top reason people returned home.

It's not just younger renters making adjustments. According to roommate platform SpareRoom, adults age 65 and older are now the fastest-growing roommate demographic in the country. Rising rents, inflation, divorce, and fixed incomes are leading more older adults to share housing costs later in life.

Instead of focusing solely on the 30% rent rule, focus on how much you can comfortably afford to spend on housing. Because at the end of the day, every financial decision you make will affect the next one. And if you spend more on rent than you can manage, it could lead to financial strain in other areas. 

Manage your rentals like a pro.

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