内存危机日益严重,连复古内存的价格都在飞涨。
Memory crisis is getting so bad that even retro RAM prices are going to the Moon

原始链接: https://www.theregister.com/personal-tech/2026/06/22/the-memory-crisis-is-getting-so-bad-that-even-retro-ram-prices-are-going-to-the-moon/5259627

全球人工智能热潮引发了严重的内存短缺,芯片制造商纷纷优先生产高利润的 HBM 和服务器 DRAM。这种转变导致主流 DDR4 和 DDR5 内存模块供应紧缺,推高了设备成本,迫使硬件制造商采取极端措施。 据集邦咨询(TrendForce)分析,一些公司目前不得不转而使用“老旧”的 DDR2 和 DDR3 组件来维持生产并控制成本。这种不同寻常的趋势给供应链带来了新的压力,导致这些旧技术的价格大幅飙升。虽然华邦电子(Winbond)等一些供应商正在逐步淘汰旧技术生产线,以专注于现代组件,但亿恒科技(ESMT)等其他厂商却在增加 DDR2 的产量以争夺市场份额。 尽管 SK 海力士(SK hynix)和美光(Micron)等巨头有长期扩大晶圆产能的计划,但短期内仍难以缓解。目前,对内存的迫切需求已使短缺问题向上传导,将过时的技术变成了高需求的紧俏商品。

Hacker News 上的一场讨论澄清道,尽管有头条新闻称“内存危机”推高了复古内存的价格,但实际情况更为复杂。虽然某些特定的 DDR3 ECC 模块在 eBay 上的价格有所上涨,但评论者指出,大多数旧内存条的价格依然停滞不前,且往往被当作废料回收黄金,而非二次使用。 真正的需求似乎来自原始内存芯片,而非消费级的内存条。这些芯片正越来越多地被拆解或采购,用于嵌入式设备、低端路由器、机顶盒和工业控制器。虽然大容量、无缓冲的 ECC 内存因其在入门级系统中的实用性而依然相对昂贵,但普通的复古 DDR2 和 DDR3 内存模块并未经历广泛的市场热潮。用户还讨论了“复古”的定义,指出 DDR3 远未到过时的程度。
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原文

PERSONAL TECH

Some hardware firms redesigning products to use older DDR2 and DDR3 components

The global memory crisis has developed a new twist as buyers turn to "legacy" products such as DDR2 and DDR3 to meet demand, according to market watcher TrendForce.

The Taiwanese firm says DRAM buyers are turning to older products to secure larger supply allocations, driving up prices for components including DDR2 and DDR3.

As Reg readers will be well aware by now, the AI craze has led to memory chipmakers prioritizing production of more profitable HBM and server DRAM silicon to power AI infrastructure, leaving a shortage of the mainstream memory types needed for PCs, smartphones, and other devices.

As a result, prices have risen for DDR4 and DDR5 modules – if you can even find them – resulting in hikes in the cost of kit such as PCs, which are up by double figures, according to some estimates.

Continued shortages of everyday DRAM components and rapidly rising contract prices have prompted some hardware makers to downgrade memory specifications to control system costs, TrendForce claims. In some cases, DDR4 designs are being replaced with DDR3 solutions, while certain DDR3-based products are being redesigned to use DDR2. 

We find it hard to believe that PC makers would ship systems with memory types so old or that modern processors would support them, so it is likely this applies to other kinds of device.

Now the market intelligence operation estimates that DDR2 contract prices will rise by approximately 55 to 60 percent for the second quarter of 2026, followed by a further 35 to 40 percent increase in the third quarter.

This is happening because customers are desperate to secure more reliable supplies, adopting lower capacity configurations or turning to older memory generations. Consequently, the supply shortages are now rippling through the memory market and starting to affect even legacy DRAM products.

Key suppliers of DDR2 components include Winbond and Elite Semiconductor Microelectronics Technology (ESMT), based in TrendForce's home turf of Taiwan. However, Winbond is gradually winding down DDR2 production and reallocating capacity toward more high-margin products such as DDR3, DDR4, and LPDDR4, it says.

But ESMT plans to maximize DDR2 production within its existing allocation at wafer maker PSMC. The firm is understood to be concentrating resources on this segment to enhance profitability and help offset the supply gap created by Winbond’s withdrawal from the DDR2 market.

Some of the big memory makers are planning to increase capacity, but only slowly. Korean giant SK hynix aims to double silicon wafer output capacity over the next five years, while US biz Micron expects "meaningful new capacity" at its new Virginia fabrication plant in 2027 and 2028. ®

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