伊朗以无人机袭击巴林,霍尔木兹海峡再现外国船只遇袭事件
Iran Escalating With Drone Attack On Bahrain, Yet Another Hit On Foreign Vessel In Hormuz Strait

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-escalating-drone-strikes-bahrain-yet-another-attack-foreign-vessel-hormuz-strait

过去48小时内,波斯湾地区的紧张局势急剧升级,威胁到了美伊之间脆弱的临时协议。冲突始于周四,当时伊朗以违反海上协议为由,袭击了霍尔木兹海峡的一艘商船。作为回应,美国于周五对伊朗在西里克岛(Sirik Island)的无人机和导弹储存设施及雷达装置进行了空袭。 周六冲突进一步加剧,伊朗向巴林发动了无人机袭击,遭到海湾国家的广泛谴责。伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队为自己的行动辩解称,美国违反了《伊斯兰堡谅解备忘录》(MoU)中规定的海上监测承诺。 尽管华盛顿和德黑兰尚未正式放弃该临时协议,但这种针锋相对的暴力行为(包括对航运的进一步打击)已将该地区推向了“无休止战争”的边缘。随着双方互相指责对方缺乏诚意,旨在维护协议的外交努力正在迅速瓦解。尽管近期在其他地区和平框架下取得了进展,但波斯湾局势的破裂表明,当前的升级循环可能很快会使现有的外交协议失效。

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原文

A lot of escalation has ensued in the last 48 hours, starting when Thursday Tehran struck a commercial ship in the Strait of Hormuz, after which by the end of Friday US CENTCOM confirmed a series of fresh attacks on Iranian missile and drone storage sites as well as coastal radar installations, reportedly on Sirik Island located near the Strait of Hormuz.

Referring to Thursday's attack on a vessel off Oman, the Pentagon called it a "powerful response to yesterday’s attack," in the Friday statement. By early Saturday, Iran had re-retaliated and launched a fresh drone attack on Bahrain. Additionally, another ship in the Strait of Hormuz separately came under attack Saturday.

The Ever Lovely, via Marine Traffic

The Associated Press points to the obvious potential US-Iran deal (MoU) unraveling: "The attacks across the Persian Gulf show the danger of the Iran war again spinning out of control, even after Iran and the U.S. reached an interim deal to try and agree on a final accord to end the conflict" - though neither side has as yet indicated they are walking away from the deal at this point.

According to more details from the Saturday developments:

  • Bahrain said it was targeted by "a number" of Iranian drones on Saturday, accusing Tehran of "undermining peace efforts" in the region. In a statement, the country's foreign ministry said it expressed "Bahrain’s condemnation in the strongest terms of the targeting of its territory at dawn today," adding that the attacks were a "blatant threat to the security of citizens and residents".
  • US Central Command announced that American aircraft had hit Iranian missile and drone storage locations as well as coastal radar sites in response to Iran striking the M/V Ever Lovely ship with a one-way attack drone as it navigated the Strait of Hormuz.
  • "The Singapore-flagged cargo ship was exiting the Strait of Hormuz along the Omani coast at the time of Iran’s attack," CENTCOM said, adding that Iranian forces had "clearly violated" the ceasefire agreement.

But it remains that Iran is now firing warning shots at ships that haven't cleared permits to transit the Strait of Hormuz under Iran's own protocol, which highlights that deep divisions remain over each side's interpretation of the terms. The latest via Reuters:

  • IRAN WEIGHS WALKING AWAY FROM SWISS TALKS AFTER US STRIKE
  • IRAN MAY HALT SWISS TALKS AFTER US STRIKE ON SIRIK

Gulf states have newly condemned "in the strongest terms the treacherous Iranian attacks" on Bahrain, after drones hit the country's territory. The GCC statement further alleged that the Iranians targeted "civilian infrastructure and properties".

Other nations weighed in separately, with for example Kuwait's foreign ministry saying "The continuation of these aggressions, amid regional and international efforts aimed at de-escalation and reducing tensions, represents a dangerous undermining of efforts for peace and stability and a threat to the security and stability of the region," on X.

Amid all the tit-for-tat, Iran's IRGC is blaming the US for breaking it commitments under the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU). A Saturday statement described:

According to Article Five of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, arrangements for monitoring maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz are carried out in coordination with the Islamic Republic of Iran.

However, according to the statement, the United States sought to violate this commitment through various movements and received an appropriate response, and the same will apply in the future. If any aggression is repeated, the response will be broader."

Al Jazeera has meanwhile reported Saturday that that IRGC ‘targets’ US military sites in region after attacks - and so the response could be ongoing.

Independent journalist and pundit Michael Tracey points out sarcastically but aptly that Indefinitely bombing Iran sounds a lot like what you might call "endless war"And so the weekly tit-for-tat escalation might grow more regular until there simply is no more MoU deal to reference back to at all.

Ironically this comes just as Israel, Lebanon, and Israel hailed the signing of a 'trilateral peace framework' in Washington - and as Hezbollah is being pushed out of a political solution in south Lebanon, while the IDF occupation of significant territory remains.

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