古根海姆人工智能调查显示:大型IT企业人工智能应用激增,大规模裁员担忧落空。
Guggenheim AI Survey Finds Adoption Surging Across Large IT Enterprises As Mass Layoff Fears Fall Flat

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/guggenheim-ai-survey-finds-adoption-surging-across-large-it-enterprises-mass-layoff

古根海姆证券(Guggenheim Securities)对150名IT专业人士进行的调查显示,企业对人工智能(AI)的采用正在加速,81%的大型企业已经部署了AI智能体。目前,Anthropic和OpenAI在企业领域占据主导地位。据报道,使用AI工具的员工生产力提升了18%,企业将其IT预算中约19%用于AI驱动的软件开发、分析和运营。 尽管取得了这一进展,但该行业对不断上涨的“Token成本”表示日益担忧。近期有关AI账单激增的报告引发了内部审查,许多公司正在仔细监控成本,以确保其不会超过AI带来的实际效益。尽管如此,企业对该技术仍持乐观态度,预计到2027年,AI将使营业利润率提高3.1%。 在劳动力方面,调查澄清了关于AI导致大规模失业的担忧在很大程度上并未得到证实。受访者报告称,与AI相关的平均裁员率仅为2.5%。该技术并未引发大范围裁员,而是主要用于缓解劳动力短缺并优化现有工作流程,尽管分析师对这些采用趋势的长期发展轨迹仍存在分歧。

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原文

Building on Goldman's estimate that AI adoption across corporate America currently stands at roughly 20.6% and could rise to 24% by year-end, a Guggenheim Securities survey of 150 large-enterprise IT professionals found that 81% of respondents have already deployed AI agents. Anthropic and OpenAI are leading adoption among AI-native platforms, reinforcing the view that the enterprise chatbot and frontier-model battle is increasingly becoming a two-pony race.

The survey found that enterprise adoption of AI is quickly accelerating, with 81% of respondents already deploying chatbots.

About 42% of employees actively use AI for roughly 22% of the workday, resulting in an estimated 18% productivity gain.

According to respondents, AI accounts for an average of roughly 19% of corporate IT budgets, with spending concentrated in software development, data analytics, and IT operations. About half of respondents expect AI to become a separate budget line, while 37% of those firms plan to fund it in part through incremental spending beyond existing IT allocations.

The survey also provided more evidence of token cost concerns among respondents:

On average, respondents anticipate that AI will have a positive impact on their company's operating margin. Furthermore, respondents anticipate this impact to accelerate to 3.1% in 2027. We also note that our data indicates more respondents anticipate mid-to-high single- digit decreases in 2027 vs. 2026, which may be indicative of token costs outweighing realized benefits from AI adoption. With that being said, this is still significantly outweighed by an anticipated benefit from AI.

Recall the recent tokenmaxxing fiasco and the mysterious $500 million Claude bill, Uber capping AI coding spend after burning through its entire 2026 agentic budget in just four months, and UBS checks showing token costs have become a live issue for roughly 60% of enterprise customers. One company received its first AI invoice and heard leadership respond bluntly: "We don't have the money for this."

Related:

On headcount, respondents reported an average 2.5% reduction tied to AI, far from the apocalyptic mass-layoff forecasts that dominated headlines earlier this year.

Marc Andreessen recently dismissed the narrative of sweeping AI-driven job cuts as "fake," and Guggenheim's findings lend some support to that view: AI is improving productivity and easing labor constraints, but it has yet to trigger mass layoffs.

Here are more AI adoption trends across the corporate world, offered in a recent note by Goldman analyst Sarah Dong... 

Read here.

However, JPMorgan takes a different view of the AI adoption trend. 

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