雀巢股价创互联网泡沫破裂以来最大跌幅,疲软的销量粉碎了市场对其业绩好转的预期。
Nestle Shares Plunge Most Since Dot-Com Bust As Weak Volume Shatters High Hopes Of Turnaround

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nestle-shares-plunge-most-dot-com-bust-weak-volume-shatter-high-hopes-turnaround

雀巢股价创下2002年以来的最大跌幅,此前第二季度北美销售额意外下滑0.6%。尽管得益于咖啡和宠物护理业务的强劲表现,有机销售额整体增长了3.7%,但销量下滑以及婴儿配方奶粉召回等持续的运营阻力,动摇了投资者的信心。 市场反应反映出对首席执行官菲利普·纳夫拉蒂尔(Philipp Navratil)转型战略的预期有所降低,分析师称该战略仍处于“进行中”。尽管近期有所回升,但该股较2021年的峰值已下跌44%。分析师对此存在分歧:一些人认为这种波动是必要的调整,而另一些人则对公司的战略路线图保持信心。 为精简运营,雀巢宣布将旗下高端水业务的一半以30亿欧元的价格出售给白金资产管理公司(Platinum Equity)。此举旨在将公司重心重新聚焦于咖啡、宠物护理和营养品等核心业务。尽管股价大跌,管理层对公司的长期发展方向仍充满信心,维持了全年利润率指引,并强调在充满挑战的环境中将保持执行力的一致性。

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原文

Nestlé shares in Switzerland tumbled the most in 24 years after North American sales volumes unexpectedly contracted, undercutting investor confidence in CEO Philipp Navratil's turnaround efforts.

Organic sales rose a better-than-expected 3.7% in the second quarter, but real internal growth in North America fell 0.6%, while an infant formula recall and the Gulf conflict weighed on operations.

"Given the rally, we don't think the real internal growth print is quite good enough and expect some profit taking," Barclays analyst Warren Ackerman said in a note.

Ackerman said, "NESN's turnaround is a work in progress, and expectations were too elevated, which explains the steepest fall in the shares since 2020."

If the 7.2% decline holds through the European close, it would mark Nestlé's steepest one-day loss since July 22, 2002, according to Bloomberg data.

Shares peaked around 127 euros in late 2021 and have since fallen 44% into a 4.5-year bear market. Any upside momentum seen this year has stalled - for now - as hopes of a turnaround dim. 

Ackerman added, "Coffee and Petcare remained strong, but were not sufficient to offset weakness elsewhere."

Here's what other institutional desks are saying (courtsey of Bloomberg):

Citi (neutral)

  • Cedric Besnard doesn't expect changes to consensus expectations on the back of the print "as the end of the sequential H2 margin acceleration narrative is actually aligned with current expectations"
  • "Especially after a relatively strong share price performance recently, we would not expect a re-rating," Besnard writes

Vontobel (buy)

  • "Nestle is showing clear execution on the key priorities, marking a meaningful milestone in this new strategic roadmap," Jean-Philippe Bertschy writes
  • Adds accelerating RIG, cost savings and improving cash generation are particularly reassuring given higher advertising and marketing spend

Nestlé also agreed to sell half of its Perrier and S.Pellegrino water business to Platinum Equity for 3 billion euros in cash, creating a 50-50 venture valued at 4.9 billion euros. The deal advances Navratil's plan to shed underperforming assets and refocus the company heavily on coffee, pet care, nutrition, food and snacks.

Navratil is pulling every lever to stabilize the sinking ship, and the strategy appears to be working.

As CFO Anna Manz told investors on an earnings call earlier today: "You see us manage, as we have in the first half, any elements that come our way quite consistently, and that's why we're maintaining our margin guidance today."

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