帝国联储四月份暴跌——低于所有预期,“希望”受到打击
'Hope' Hammered As Empire Fed Plunged In April - Below All Estimates

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hope-hammered-empire-fed-plunged-april-below-all-estimates

4 月份,纽约州制造业活动连续第五个月再次收缩,报告大幅下降-14.3,而不是预期的-5.2。 据彭博社报道,这一出乎意料的糟糕结果让经济学家感到惊讶。 随着投入和产出价格均达到一年来的最高水平,情况进一步恶化。 尽管劳动力市场面临就业机会减少和工作时间减少等挑战,但新订单、出货量和库存水平也出现了大幅下降。 未完成的订单持续下降,而交货时间有所改善,但总的来说,这对制造商来说是一个不有吸引力的情况。 经济学家理查德·戴茨 (Richard Deitz) 对这些调查结果发表了评论,称纽约制造业活动仍在收缩,同时失业仍在持续。 他补充说,所谓的“软”和“硬”经济指标之间的差距进一步加剧,“软”数据现在表现不及强劲的“硬”数据。 据彭博社报道,这两个类别之间的希望或差距已接近拜登总统上任以来的最低点。

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原文

New York state factory activity contracted in April for a fifth straight month, printing at -14.3 (dramatically below the -5.2 print expected)...

Source: Bloomberg

...that was below all analysts' estimates...

Source: Bloomberg

...but even more problematically, prices paid (and received) surged to their highest in a year (and it appears that all those illegal immigrants in New York are not getting jobs in the manufacturing sector). Labor market conditions remained weak with employment and hours worked moving lower...

New orders and shipments both declined significantly, and unfilled orders continued to shrink. Delivery times shortened, and inventories edged higher.

Not a pretty picture...

“Manufacturing activity continued to contract in New York State in April, and employment continued to decline. Optimism about the outlook for future business conditions remained subdued.

~Richard Deitz, Economic Research Advisor at the New York Fed

All of which just confirms the current theme in macro data  - 'soft' survey data has collapsed relative to the 'inflated' 'hard' data...

Source: Bloomberg

...which means 'hope' - the spread between hard and soft data - is plummeting back toward cycle lows since Biden was elected.

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