红海重现危机:沙特呼吁组建“意愿联盟”以保护航运免受胡塞武装袭击
Red Sea Redux: Saudis Call For 'Coalition Of The Willing' To Protect Shipping From Houthis

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/red-sea-redux-saudis-again-call-coalition-willing-protect-shipping-houthis

沙特阿拉伯目前正试图组建一个国际海军联盟,以保障曼德海峡免受胡塞武装持续不断的袭击。在此之前,包括美国此前试图保障霍尔木兹海峡安全的努力均以失败告终,未能获得欧洲盟友的大力支持。 尽管白宫最初承诺将采取迅速且有限的行动,但该地区的冲突已显著升级,目前已进入第六个月。分析人士指出,尽管进行了大规模的轰炸行动,但全球大国仍无法阻止胡塞武装的军事行动,这已削弱了外界对美国主导战略的信心。许多国际盟友仍不愿加入新的联盟,他们认为局势是一场复杂且不断扩大的冲突,而非简单的二元争端。 归根结底,沙特的此举反映了地区海域日益增长的不稳定性。然而,由于缺乏明确的退出战略,且胡塞武装已根深蒂固,专家们认为,这些建立“意愿联盟”的呼吁很可能会遭遇怀疑和冷遇,因为全球海军大国对卷入一场不断升级且旷日持久的地区战争仍保持警惕。

相关文章

原文

Here we go again... after months ago President Trump urgently pushed for an international naval alliance to 'open' the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran war, which was met with at the time with a collective cold shoulder from European allies, the Saudis are newly pitching the same to open up the Bab al Mandab Strait.

"Saudi Arabia is seeking to build an international coalition to protect shipping in the Red Sea from Houthi attacks, say two people familiar with the deliberations," Reuters reports Wednesday.

March 2024: Maxar Technologies image shows the sinking Belize-flagged ship Rubymar in the Red Sea after being attacked by the Houthis.

"The composition of the coalition has yet to be finalized and remains under discussion with dozens of countries, the sources add," the report continues.

The conflict has just hit the first day of month six of a 'little excursion' what the White House all the way back in February and March insisted would be a swift, limited, and successful action.

Fast-forward and now a key American regional ally pleads for a new 'coalition of the willing' focused on safe Red Sea passage as the Houthis take shots at Saudi vessels.

But these calls are again likely to merely fall on deaf ears, given few countries will likely want to send their navies up against an entrenched Houthis movement in Yemen which hasn't yielded after well over a decade at war with the Saudis, Emirates, and Israelis.

Also, Washington's global allies have likely long ago lost confidence in American 'plans' for reopening Hormuz and bringing the Iran war to a close. They don't see an articulated exit strategy, but instead a continual escalation ladder broken up for brief pauses and talks which have obviously collapsed.

The fact that Riyadh is now scrambling to find safe passage through the Red Sea for its ships speaks to the widening scope of this war. We earlier featured analysis from former MI6 intelligence official Alastair Crooke, whose words are apt here:

By adopting such uncompromising Manichaean language, Trump effectively has severed himself from any prospective diplomatic solution. By widening the war (Lebanon, Yemen, Syria and Iraq) he has severely complicated any diplomatic track. All elements are interrelated, yet they also have separate agendas. Thus a solution involves a complex matrix of issues, rather than a binary dispute between the US and Iran alone

Likely Washington will jump on board these Saudi calls for international patrols in the Red Sea. But the US is unlikely to lead the way or even directly participate, given this was already tried before in the context of the Gaza war, when the Houthis previously imposed a naval blockade.

Despite many rounds of major US and Israeli bombing campaigns over Yemen, the Houthis maintained their ability to target ships in regional waters, and the most advanced militaries and navies in the world seem powerless.

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com