美国7月份就业岗位减少23,000个,出现突然逆转。
U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July, a sudden reversal

原始链接: https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/july-2026-jobs-report-rcna591138

美国劳动力市场在七月表现疲软,意外裁减了2.3万个就业岗位,而此前几个月的数据也被大幅下调了10.3万个岗位。随着失业率达到4.1%,且劳动参与率降至2021年初以来的最低点,分析师将当前的经济前景形容为“惨淡”。 报告指出,受伊朗持续冲突导致的能源成本上升以及3.5%的持续通胀影响,经济正处于困境之中。年均仅3.2%的工资增长目前无法赶上生活成本的上涨。尽管医疗保健行业增加了2.2万个工作岗位,但政府教育、零售和金融等领域均出现了普遍的收缩。 尽管数据不佳,但在报告发布后,股票期货价格上涨,债券收益率下降。投资者对此反应积极,预计劳动力市场的降温可能会阻止美联储进一步加息。然而,工资增长与通胀之间的脱节,加上高油价和参与率的下降,凸显了宏观经济中存在的不稳定性。

美国劳动力市场在七月份经历了剧烈下滑,经济减少了 2.3 万个就业岗位。此次下滑因前两个月数据的大幅向下修正而进一步加剧:五月和六月的就业数据合计被下调了 10.3 万个,这表明经济疲软的程度比此前报告的更具系统性。 Hacker News 上的讨论凸显了关于此次逆转原因的争论。虽然一些用户指出科技行业裁员频繁,但另一些用户澄清说,“科技”并非单一的报告类别,金融活动等更广泛的行业表现也十分糟糕。评论者对媒体将此消息描述为“突发”持怀疑态度,认为一些观察家早有预见。总体而言,这些数据反映出劳动力市场多个细分领域呈现令人担忧的降温趋势。
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原文

The U.S. economy shed 23,000 jobs in July, a sign that the labor market had not stabilized after four months of positive growth.

The unemployment rate ticked down only slightly to 4.1%.

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were expecting the release to show 83,000 added roles, more than June’s 57,000.

In yet another troubling sign for the labor market, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said that it revised down the prior two months by a combined 103,000. May’s jobs total was cut by 66,000 to 129,000 total jobs added, while June’s total was lowered by 37,000 to a total gain of 57,000.

The hiring data comes against a complicated economic backdrop. The U.S. war with Iran continues without any kind of agreement to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz. As a result, energy prices remain elevated, even if they are off their highest levels of the year.

The change in workers’ average hourly earnings also fell well short of economists’ expectations. Wage growth was 0.1% from June, or 3.2% from one year ago. That’s also below inflation, which was 3.5% in its most recent reading.

Economists had been expecting wages to continue pacing at 3.5% from a year ago, but instead wage growth slowed.

“The labor market is stalling again,” wrote Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, who called the report “bleak.”

In a post on X, Long also pointed to another troubling data point: The labor force participation rate in July was the lowest since February 2021, a sign that workers are dropping out of the workforce.

The average price of regular gasoline also remains high, at $4.04 per gallon as of Friday morning, up 36% since Feb. 28, when the Iran war began. Inflation remains well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target at 3.5%. Wages are struggling to keep pace.

The BLS said employment contracted the most in “local government education,” which declined by 50,000 roles, likely reflecting teachers during summer break. It also flagged a contraction of 19,000 roles in the retail industry. The financial industry shed 14,000 roles.

“In July, employment in health care continued its upward trend,” the BLS said, noting a gain of 22,000 jobs. But it said, that was “a slower pace than the average monthly gain over the prior 12 months.”

Stock futures rose sharply in the immediate aftermath of the report, as investors who were concerned the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates breathed a sigh of relief. S&P 500 futures were up 0.5% and Nasdaq 100 futures were up 1%.

Bond yields dropped, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield falling sharply to 4.6%. That Treasury bond specifically drives the direction of consumer lending rates, such as for mortgages, credit cards and personal loans.

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