参谋长联席会议主席敦促为伊朗战争寻找出路,并警告局势升级将适得其反
Joint Chiefs Chair Pushing For Iran War Off-Ramp, Warning Escalation Will Backfire

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/joint-chiefs-chair-pushing-iran-war-ramp-warning-escalation-will-backfire

参谋长联席会议主席丹·凯恩将军据报正幕后推动,试图说服特朗普总统缓和已持续五个月的对伊冲突。消息人士指出,凯恩正与包括中情局局长约翰·拉特克利夫和副总统万斯在内的关键内阁成员协调,建立统一战线以反对进一步的军事行动,实际上是在寻求结束战争的“退场机制”。 凯恩的担忧源于美国军火储备的大幅消耗,其中包括关键的ATACMS导弹和防空系统,此外他还认为进一步的打击成效甚微。军方官员认为,继续这种被形容为“打地鼠”式的军事行动,在无法实现削弱伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡控制等战略目标的同时,还面临引发灾难性区域动荡的风险。 尽管面临来自中央司令部和以色列要求升级行动的压力,但对美军高伤亡代价和伊朗可能采取报复行动的担忧仍是主要障碍。据报道,凯恩在向总统保证美国仍有能力造成打击的同时,强调军事力量不太可能改变伊朗的地缘政治立场,并敦促转变战略以保护美国的利益与资源。

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原文

In another sign of mounting pressure on President Trump to disengage the US armed forces from his failing, five-month war on Iran, America's top general has been carefully working with other Trump advisers to communicate that continued depletion of the Pentagon's arsenal is unlikely to alter Iran's stance, while escalation is likely to backfireCNN reported on Friday evening, citing "sources familiar with the matter." 

Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Gen. Dan Caine has been using side conversations with cabinet officials -- including CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance -- to ensure they have a shared, clear picture of the military situation before they meet with Trump, CNN's sources say. Summing it up, one said, “Caine is looking for an off-ramp.”

In a July congressional hearing, Caine said "airpower has its limits." Nicknamed "Razin Caine," the general said to be reiterating that caution in his behind-the-scenes discussions with likeminded officials who think a major escalation of US attacks on Iran could cause disastrous fallout for the region and US interests.“There really isn’t much else to hit since it is whack-a-mole with drone and missile sites. Bombing power plants would be publicly a lot more significant," one source said. Others said hitting Iranian infrastructure would likely rally the country's citizens around the government -- even more than the war has done already 

Last weekend, the US military seemed poised to carry out Trump's threat to unleash “the biggest attack since World War II," but he called it off, at least in part because of profound concerns raised by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Iran had promised to wreak havoc up and down the Gulf. “The only ones in favor of the operation were elements of CENTCOM,” said one source, referring to the Pentagon's Central Command, which is responsible for action in the Middle East. The source also pointed out that Israel also wants escalation of the war.   

“I think it is just his way of protecting the military,” a source said about Caine's cautionary campaign. In addition to squandering the lives of at least 18 US service members and wounding more than 600 more, the five-month Trump-Netanyahu war on Iran has severely depleted the US arsenal. Referring to Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) and Precision Strike Missiles (PrSM), two sources this week told Reuters that "Washington has used virtually all of these weapons," further substantiating earlier media reports and think tank studies that sounded alarms over dwindling munitions. It's not just offensive weapons that are running out: Low air defense missile supplies are also of grave concern, particularly to Gulf states that would face what would likely be a devastating Iranian backlash to a major new US assault on Iran.   

Earlier this year, one source criticized Caine for failing to pointedly counsel Trump on the pitfalls of taking on such a well-equipped and geologically-protected adversary. “He’s definitely pulling punches,” the source said then, adding that Caine was much more candid with fellow military officers than with his commander-in-chief. Now, Caine is apparently intensifying his approach. Though warning of the dwindling arsenal, Caine is said to have assured Trump that, if he does order a major escalation, the Pentagon could manage to cause plenty of destruction across Iran. However, it probably wouldn't put a crack in Iran's grip on the Strait of Hormuz, much less substantially affect the nuclear situation that was fraudulently advanced as the casus belli -- for decades

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