中国境外全球最大氧化铝精炼厂因天然气供应中断突然减产一半
World's Largest Alumina Refinery Outside China Abruptly Halves Output On NatGas Disruption

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/worlds-largest-alumina-refinery-outside-china-abruptly-halves-output-natgas-disruption

由于天然气严重短缺,挪威海德鲁公司(Norsk Hydro)已将其位于巴西的全球最大(中国境外)氧化铝精炼厂 Alunorte 的产量削减了 50%。由于天然气是铝土矿精炼过程中拜耳法(Bayer process)所需高温环境的关键燃料,此次供应中断导致产量大幅下降。 该消息引发了市场反应,伦敦铝价应声上涨,达到每公吨 3,373 美元的七周高点。目前行业正处于脆弱时期,伦敦金属交易所(LME)的铝库存已降至 1990 年以来的最低水平,且全球铝市场面临超过 90 万吨的潜在年度缺口。 在铝价飙升的同时,受地缘政治担忧和美国关税预期的影响,铜期货价格也维持在每吨 14,000 美元以上。策略师警告称,这些基础工业金属成本的上涨,将导致全球电气化和脱碳进程的支出显著增加。尽管面临价格压力,但铝和铜在绿色能源转型中仍不可或缺,并持续受益于电网扩张、轻量化及回收技术带来的结构性需求。

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原文

Norwegian aluminum producer Norsk Hydro's Alunorte plant in Brazil, one of the world's largest alumina refineries, reduced output by 50% following disruptions to natural gas availability.

Bloomberg reports that disruptions to NatGas availability at Alunorte forced a 50% reduction in output and sent aluminum prices in London to a seven-week high. Hydro said production would return to full capacity once gas supplies normalize.

Aluminum rose nearly 2% in London and traded at $3,373 a metric ton. Alumina futures gained 1% in Shanghai.

NatGas is critical to Alunorte because alumina refining requires high-temperature heat and steam. The gas powers the Bayer process, which refines bauxite: 

  • Digestion: Bauxite is mixed with caustic soda and heated under pressure to dissolve the aluminum-bearing minerals.
  • Evaporation and steam generation: Large boilers provide steam throughout the refinery.
  • Calcination: Aluminum hydroxide is heated to around 1,832F to remove water and produce smelter-grade alumina.

The disruption means that Alunorte cannot maintain enough steam and furnace heat to operate its production lines, forcing the refinery to reduce throughput. For context, Alunorte is the world's largest single-site alumina refinery and the largest outside China. It is located in Barcarena, Pará, and has an annual capacity of 6.3 million metric tons.

Inventories in London Metal Exchange warehouses have fallen to 250,000 tons, the lowest level since November 1990. Norsk Hydro recently warned that the annual global aluminum deficit could top 900,000 tons if trade through the Strait of Hormuz remained disrupted.

Also in the industrial metals space, copper futures in London are trading above $14,000 per ton as metal inflows into the US continue ahead of President Trump's expected tariff, effectively tightening global supplies.

Surging prices for both industrial metals will only make electrification and decarbonization even more expensive.

"Copper and aluminum are important beneficiaries of electrification and decarbonization," said UniCredit SpA strategist Thomas Strobel. "While copper's investment case is driven by structural supply constraints, aluminum benefits from lightweighting, grid expansion and recycling. Together, they offer complementary exposure to some of the strongest long-term trends in the global economy."

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