厄尔尼诺与拉尼娜现象意味着什么?
What To Expect From El Niño And La Niña?

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/what-expect-el-nino-and-la-nina

预计未来几个月将出现强厄尔尼诺现象,这预示着美国大部分地区在秋冬季节可能面临多雨和风暴天气。厄尔尼诺是厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)气候周期的一部分,当赤道太平洋海域变暖、信风减弱时,热量便会在美洲附近聚集,从而引发该现象。 虽然厄尔尼诺往往会给美国带来大雨,但它也可能加剧太平洋西北地区、南美洲部分地区和中美洲的干旱状况。相反,该周期的降温阶段——拉尼娜现象,会加强信风,通常导致美国南部和南美洲部分地区气候干旱,同时增加加勒比海和中美洲的降雨量。当温度异常波动保持在平均值 0.5 摄氏度以内时,则处于中性状态。这两种现象通常在年底达到高峰,对全球天气模式产生重大影响。

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原文

As a strong El Niño phenomenon is being predicted for the coming months, large parts of the United States can potentially expect a wet and stormy fall and winter.

As Statista's Katharina Buchholz details below, this is seen in data from the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University.

Infographic: What To Expect From El Niño and La Niña? | Statista

You will find more infographics at Statista

While El Niño can also bring excess rain to parts of South America, Central Asia and Africa, it can exacerbate drought conditions in places like the Pacific Northwest, the Amazon, Central America and Southern Peru.

Climatic conditions during La Niña, on the other hand, are predictive of increased rainfall on the northern coast of South America, in Central America and in the Caribbean and dryer periods in the Southern U.S., Chile, Argentina, Uruguay and southern Brazil.

El Niño and La Niña are both a part of the global climate cycle known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).

El Niño is produced by the warming of the equatorial Pacific waters, while La Niña is what happens when these waters are cooling below their average temperatures.

During El Niño, trade winds over the Pacific normally moving from east to west weaken or even cease and reverse, making hot Pacific water accumulate near the Pacific coast of the American continent, causing rains and floods in the United States. 

La Niña meanwhile strengthens these trade winds, pushing warm ocean water towards Asia.

If the temperature anomaly the El Niño/La Niña reference area is a maximum of 0.5° Celsius above or below its averages, neutral conditions prevail. Both phenomena normally peak late in the year.

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