“为更严峻的局面做好准备”:英格兰银行行长警告人工智能对全球金融体系构成威胁
"Prepare For More Severe Scenarios": Bank Of England Chief Warns Of AI Threat To Global Financial System

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/ai/prepare-more-severe-scenarios-bank-england-chief-warns-ai-threat-world-financial-system

英国央行行长贝利(Andrew Bailey)代表金融稳定委员会发出严厉警告,指出前沿人工智能(AI)对全球金融市场构成的系统性风险。在向二十国集团(G20)财长发表讲话时,贝利将人工智能驱动的网络威胁定性为“当务之急”,并指出该技术日益增长的自主性可能破坏金融基础设施,尤其是在金融行业对集中化第三方提供商存在高度依赖的情况下。 除了网络脆弱性,监管机构对“人工智能泡沫”的担忧也与日俱增。国际清算银行(BIS)近日警告称,推动人工智能热潮的巨额资本支出可能导致长期的投资崩盘。如果人工智能投资的回报未能实现,资金的突然撤离可能引发严重的股市回调,并带来重大的宏观经济后果。 这些风险再加上不透明的金融结构(例如创造表外风险的“循环融资”交易),使局势进一步复杂化。由于许多司法管辖区缺乏对无限制前沿模型快速部署的充分防范机制——尤其是在国际竞争日益激烈的情况下——官员们正敦促迅速加强应对协议,以防止人工智能引发混乱的金融崩溃。

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原文

As the world marches towards open-weight, efficient, unrestricted frontier AI models out of China, Western leaders are starting to panic over the lack of guardrails. Most recently, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey suggested that the threat posed by AI could lead to a chaotic correction in global financial markets, as frontier models are now showing "increasingly sophisticated autonomy and problem-solving abilities, as well as threat capabilities."

Governor of the Bank of England Andrew Bailey addresses the media during a press conference concerning interest rates, at the Bank of England, in London, Britain, November 2, 2023. HENRY NICHOLLS/Pool via REUTERS

"Financial institutions, financial market infrastructures, and technology providers will therefore need to strengthen vulnerability management, response and recovery capabilities, and prepare for more severe scenarios involving simultaneous disruption across multiple firms or shared technology dependencies," Bailey wrote in a two-page letter published Monday to G20 finance ministers and central bank governors in his capacity as chair of the Financial Stability Board - an international body that coordinates international policy and provides recommendations to national authorities. 

Bailey says the cyber risk posed by AI is "the most immediate concern" for the global financial system. 

"Frontier AI may have the ability materially to alter the speed, scale and economics of cyber risk, which could undermine market confidence system-wide, especially due to highly concentrated third-party service providers," he wrote, adding. "Recent developments have also highlighted to me that many jurisdictions do not have the protocols in place to manage the development, release, and deployment of advanced frontier AI models, heightening risks for the financial sector and beyond." 

Bailey's warning comes one month after the Bank for International Settlements warned that the AI bubble itself is one of three of the most alarming threats to global prosperity at this time. 

"Disappointment in returns could trigger a sudden pullback in financing and turn the capex boom into a protracted investment bust, with potential knock-on effects on financial conditions," the BIS said, before observing that "a major equity-market correction could have larger macroeconomic consequences today than in the past."

Officials highlighted vulnerabilities linked to funding, including complex arrangements such so-called “circular financingdeals that can mix equity and debt with supplier-client contracts (as discussed here "The $1.8 Trillion Off-Balance Sheet Time Bomb At The Heart Of The AI Supercycle")

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