消费者信贷数据远超预期,信用卡债务创历史新高
Consumer Credit Smashes Estimates As Credit Card Debt Hits New All-Time High

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/consumer-credit-smashes-estimates-credit-card-debt-hits-new-all-time-high

美国消费者债务在七月激增,信贷总额上升了 181 亿美元,远高于预期的 117 亿美元。这一增长标志着在经历前几个月的波动后出现了显著反弹。 此次增长主要由“非循环”信贷(汽车贷款和学生贷款)带动,该类别增加了 153 亿美元,创下三年多来的最大月度增幅,并将该类别债务推向 5.186 万亿美元的历史新高。虽然汽车贷款保持相对稳定,但学生贷款余额恢复了增长态势,达到历史最高水平。 此外,以信用卡债务为主的“循环”信贷增加了 28 亿美元,达到 1.357 万亿美元的历史记录。消费者的财务压力因成本上升而进一步加剧:信用卡账户的平均利率攀升至 22.15%。这一利率水平是三年来首次见到,凸显了信用卡利率无论美联储利率如何波动均持续走高的趋势,也强调了美国居民家庭所承受的负担日益沉重。

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原文

The relevering of the US consumer continues: one month after the June consumer credit number came higher than estimates (and followed the unexpected May contreaction in US credit), in July consumer credit came in even higher than expected, with the Fed reporting in its latest G.19 report that in July, US consumer credit rose by a whopping $18.1BN - more than the $14.6 billion in June - and far above the $11.7 billion estimate. 

The rebound was driven by a modestly increase in revolving credit (i.e., credit card debt), as consumers added $2.8 billion to their credit card total...

... pushing it to new record high of $1.357 trillion.

The bulk of July's spike in consumer credit was in "non-revolving": student and auto loans rose by a whopping $15.3 billion, the biggest one month increase in over three years, and pushing total nonrevolving credit to $5.186 trillion, also a new all time high.

What is interesting, is that while auto loans have barely budged since late 2023, staying around 1.6 trillion for nearly three years, and hitting a record $1.571 trillion at the end of June, student loans have resumed their ascent, and after a modest decline in late 2023, student loans are once again at all time highs although in June we saw a tiny decline of $4.5 billion.

Finally for those keeping tabs, after a modest decline in the previous two quarter, the average interest rate on credit card accounts assessed interest rose again to 22.15%...

... a level last seen three years ago, when the Fed rates was almost 2% higher, which confirms our long-running observation that credit card rates go up but they never go down.

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