比亚迪进军欧洲加剧了德国汽车工业的危机
BYD's EU Invasion Deepens Germany's Auto Industry Crisis

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/byds-eu-invasion-deepens-germanys-auto-industry-crisis

德国工业基础正面临危机,大量经济实惠的中国电动汽车迅速占领了欧洲市场份额。随着中国品牌市场渗透率攀升至10.7%,并预计到2035年将达到30%,大众和捷豹路虎等本土巨头被迫进行大规模裁员和重组。 汽车行业是欧洲经济的基石,这一行业的萎缩助长了右翼民粹主义的抬头,因为选民认为遭到了政治精英的背叛。虽然德国目前正在考虑征收关税以保护本土产业,但北京在电池技术和稀土矿产方面的主导地位,使欧盟极易受到报复措施的影响。 除了经济损失外,欧洲汽车行业的衰落还构成了重大的国家安全威胁。随着欧洲试图在日益加剧的全球冲突中提高产能,工厂、熟练劳动力和供应链的流失,削弱了该大陆的国防制造能力。对于欧洲领导层而言,在保护主义贸易政策与工业生存需求之间取得平衡,仍然是一项严峻的挑战。

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原文

The rise of right-wing populism in Germany comes as globalist policies backfire and crush Europe's industrial powerhouse. The nation's auto industry is in shambles, with layoffs and production cuts, after European leaders had the brilliant idea of letting cheap Chinese EVs flood the struggling continent.

Bloomberg cites new data from Schmidt Automotive Research showing Chinese brands accounted for 10.7% of Western European car sales in the second quarter, up from 3.4% two years earlier, highlighting how BYD Motors's cheap $34,000 EV is quickly taking market share from domestic brands. 

Chinese EVs in the EU have seen quarterly registrations surpass those of Japanese brands. Citigroup analyst Harald Hendrikse estimates Chinese brands could capture 30% of the EU market by 2035 without additional protective measures. 

The immediate result of the flood of Chinese EVs on the continent has been restructuring news from Volkswagen that upwards of 100,000 jobs could be cut by the end of the decade. More recently, Jaguar Land Rover plans to cut 10% of its workforce

Beyond automakers, the ripple effect of layoffs is impacting parts supplier companies: 

European Auto Job Cuts

Auto Suppliers Job Cuts

Germany, previously resistant to tougher trade barriers, is preparing tariffs on Chinese hybrids as it watches its industrial base erode, stoking the rise of Alternative für Deutschland as German political elites betray working-class folks.

Protection could give domestic brands time to restructure. Still, China's dominance in batteries and rare earths gives Beijing potential means to retaliate, complicating Europe's effort to preserve its automotive industrial base.

The quick erosion of Europe's automotive industry is a national security risk for the continent because its factories, skilled workforce and supplier networks underpin the continent's capacity to produce weapons. At a time when the Russia-Ukraine war escalates and the Middle East conflict spreads, a diminished industrial base in Europe ahead of a much-needed rearmament supercycle is just bad news for EU defenses.

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