日本百岁及以上老人现已超过10万人。
More than 100k people in Japan are now aged 100 or older

原始链接: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cmzezj5e18xxo

日本百岁以上老人数量首次突破10万人,达到107,677人。其中女性占比88%,最长寿者为114岁。专家认为,长寿归功于健康的饮食、积极的生活方式以及医疗进步。 然而,这一里程碑凸显了日本正面临深层的“生存危机”。日本正处于人口崩溃之中,生育率降至1.14的创纪录低点。目前65岁及以上人口占总人口的30%,预计到2070年将达到40%,政府正竭力维持社会保障体系的可持续性。尽管国家采取了多项鼓励生育的政策,但全国总人口仍在迅速减少,当局将这一趋势描述为一场“无声的紧急状态”。 尽管日本在健康老龄化方面仍处于世界领先地位,但劳动力萎缩与老年人口激增并存,带来了严峻的经济和社会挑战。过去有关记录的担忧,例如2010年发现数十万名“下落不明”的百岁老人,也凸显了管理老龄化社会的后勤难度。

日本百岁老人数量已正式突破10万人。然而,Hacker News上的在线讨论对这一统计数据表示了严重的怀疑与担忧。 许多评论者指出,历史数据表明,由于记录保存不善以及偶尔发生的养老金欺诈,过往的“超级百岁老人”统计数字存在水分,其中一些人实际上已去世几十年。一位用户暗示,长寿的“秘诀”可能仅仅是官僚机构的失误。 除了数据准确性外,该讨论还探讨了更广泛的社会影响。批评人士认为,日本在养老护理方面正面临一场“沉默的危机”。民众对政府优先增加军费而非解决护理行业劳动力危机感到不满,该行业的工资水平依然极低。另一些人则讨论了优先考虑老龄人口而非年轻一代的伦理问题,并指出不可持续的养老金制度可能会给年轻人带来沉重负担。归根结底,这场讨论描绘了一个正努力应对人口定时炸弹的国家,而系统性的经济和行政挑战更是加剧了这一困境。
相关文章

原文

More than 100,000 people in Japan are now aged 100 or older

Getty Images A 100-year-old Japanese woman wearing a butter yellow turtleneck, white jacket and rimless glasses at a hair salon with a hairdresser holding up a mirror behind her headGetty Images
When records began in 1963 there were only 153 centenarians in Japan - now there are 107,677

The number of people aged 100 or more in Japan has exceeded 100,000 for the first time, according to the health ministry.

Figures show Japan is now home to 107,677 centenarians, the highest number in the world, of whom 88% are women. The oldest woman is Kishimoto Fuyo, a 114-year-old from Kyoto City and the oldest man is Kato Hikaru, a 112-year-old from Kumamoto.

Health Minister Kenichiro Ueno said he was "delighted that so many people are living long, healthy and active lives", citing progress in medicine and technology.

But Kenichiro also warned of the challenge the country faces in maintaining a sustainable social security system.

Experts put the long lives of the Japanese down to several factors, including a healthy diet and an active lifestyle.

The island nation's cuisine predominantly consists of fish, vegetables, and rice - and less saturated fat than many Western diets.

Older people also regularly walk, use public transport, cycle and stretch.

Japan has been aging for years and sales of adult nappies have been higher than those for babies for more than a decade.

Companies have also developed new products for the older population, including a powered exoskeleton to support moving various parts of the body and eyewear that automatically adjusts its focus.

Getty Images A close image of an elderly Japanese woman eating noodle soup Getty Images
Japanese people's diets - largely consisting of fish, vegetables and rice - are thought to contribute to living longer

For a population to replace itself, each woman needs to give birth to 2.1 children on average. Last year Japan's total fertility rate dropped to a record low of 1.14.

The total population is estimated to drop to 87 million by 2070, representing a 30% decline from its peak of 128 million in 2008, according to data from the National Institute of Population and Social Security research.

Residents aged 65 and older currently make up around 30% of the population and are expected to make up nearly 40% by 2070.

Japanese authorities have called the trend an "existential crisis" with Prime Minister Sanae Takichi describing the decline as a "quiet emergency".

In 2025 Japan's total population decreased in all 47 prefectures but two, and the rate of decline is accelerating.

The government's many programmes and subsidies to encourage young people to have more children do not appear to be boosting birth rates.

Experts say the reasons are complex, ranging from lower marriage rates and more women joining the workforce to the increased costs of raising children.

While immigration has risen in previous years, foreigners only make up around 3% of the population and opposition to accepting more has grown.

AFP via Getty Images A man ordering kebab from a shop in Tokyo's Okubo district, known for migrant communities including residents from South Korea, South East Asia and South AsiaAFP via Getty Images
Migration to Japan has increased in recent years but remains low compared to other major economies

When Japan began its centenarian survey in 1963, there were 153 people aged 100 or over. That figure rose to 1,000 in 1981 and stood at 10,000 by 1998.

The most recent figures were released ahead of Japan's annual "Respect for the Aged" public holiday, on which the government honours those turning 100 with a personal letter and traditional sake cup.

Studies have previously cast doubt on the validity of global centenarian numbers, suggesting data errors, unreliable public records and missing birth certificates may account for elevated figures.

A government audit of family registries in Japan in 2010 uncovered more than 230,000 people listed as being aged 100 or older who were unaccounted for, some having died decades previously.

The miscounting was attributed to patchy record-keeping and suspicions that some families may have tried to hide the deaths of elderly relatives in order to claim their pensions.

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com