中国承诺大量购买美国煤炭,但在解决稀土危机方面未达预期
China Pledges Major US Coal Purchases But Falls Short On Rare Earth Crisis Resolution

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/china-pledges-major-us-coal-purchases-falls-short-rare-earth-crisis-resolution

巴克莱银行经济学家周英柯(Yingke Zhou)认为,近期美中会谈缺乏实质性进展,特别是在关键矿产出口武器化的问题上。尽管中国限制了这些重要原材料的出口,但白宫确认,关于供应链瓶颈的谈判仍在进行中,尚未得到解决。 此次峰会确实带来了一些积极的经济指标,最显著的是中国承诺在2027年和2028年购买2000万吨美国煤炭,并就非敏感商品的优惠关税达成了300亿美元的协议。然而,外界仍持高度怀疑态度;分析人士指出,中国过去经常未能履行贸易承诺,往往会转而寻求其他全球供应商,从而损害美国利益。 鉴于关键原材料领域持续存在的不确定性,行业专家建议投资者应专注于“掌控瓶颈”——即优先考虑那些能够为西方确保独立供应链的非中国矿山。归根结底,虽然新的贸易承诺营造了一种合作的表象,但根深蒂固的紧张局势和过往违约的历史表明,美中经济关系仍面临重大挑战。

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原文

Barclays senior China economist Yingke Zhou poured cold water on the Trump-Xi state visit this past week, calling it "more signaling, less substance."

Shortages of rare earths and critical materials in the West, caused by China's weaponization of its export channels in what can only be viewed as resource nationalism, have yet to be resolved.

But there was some good news, though not on the critical materials front: Bloomberg reported early Saturday that China is planning to purchase 20 million metric tons of US coal over two years.

Beijing committed to importing at least 10 million metric tons in 2027 and another 10 million in 2028. The two countries will also pursue preferential tariffs covering $30 billion of non-sensitive goods from both economies under an agreement reached through the US-China Board of Trade.

Meanwhile, the White House said US and Chinese trade negotiators would continue addressing US concerns over shortages of rare earths and other critical minerals. The statement described further work on those bottlenecks, rather than a resolution.

Stifel critical materials analyst Brock Cannon laid out last week that investors want to begin "Owning the Bottlenecks" - in other words, ex-China producing mines that can deliver critical material supplies to the West today. 

The bad news: no resolution to supplies of rare earths and critical materials being choked by Beijing. The good news, however, is that China is willing to buy US coal.

But if Phase 1 of the trade deal during Trump's first term is any indication, China usually doesn't abide by its agreements. US farmers found that out the hard way when China began boosting agricultural imports from South America.

 

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