桥水基金CEO警告:不受监管的人工智能可能引发“社会崩溃”,尽管该公司正从中获利
Bridgewater CEO Warns Unregulated AI Could Trigger 'Societal Breakdown' - Even As The Firm Profits From It

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/bridgewater-ceo-warns-unregulated-ai-could-trigger-societal-breakdown-even-firm-profits

桥水联合基金首席执行官Nir Bar Dea警告称,人工智能可能取代美国劳动力市场近20%的岗位;如果缺乏有效监管,可能引发严重的社会动荡。他的表态与桥水联合基金的Greg Jensen近期发出的警告相呼应。Jensen将公众对人工智能影响的低估比作新冠疫情初期,投资者Paul Tudor Jones则将这场转型形容为一场“6级飓风”。 然而,桥水联合基金也在人工智能领域投入了大量资金。该公司的机器学习基金于2024年募集了近20亿美元。据报道,该基金通过将专有数据和模型与分析师监督相结合,其表现优于由人主导的投资策略。Bar Dea表示,持久的优势不仅仅来自商业软件,更依赖独特的数据集、有针对性的训练,以及机器处理能力与人类直觉的结合。 这种对比十分鲜明:那些有望从人工智能中获利的企业,同时也是呼吁放缓其部署最积极的声音。目前,桥水联合基金的两只旗舰基金均已停止接受新投资者。

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原文

Artificial intelligence could displace nearly one-fifth of the US labor market, threatening profound societal disruption if left unregulated, according to Bridgewater Associates CEO Nir Bar Dea. Speaking on an upcoming episode of The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations, Bar Dea projected an 18% labor dislocation rate, noting that a technology capable of radically improving the world carries equally severe downside risks.

Nir Bar Dea Photographer: Zak Bennett/Bloomberg

The stark warning aligns Bar Dea with other prominent financial executives sounding the alarm on rapid technological upheaval. Bridgewater Managing Co-Chief Investment Officer Greg Jensen - an early backer of OpenAI and Anthropic - has likened the current public underestimation of AI to the early, dismissive days of the Covid-19 pandemic. Similarly, billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones recently characterized the looming AI transition as "waiting for a Category 6 hurricane."

Despite these existential concerns, the $100 billion macroeconomic hedge fund remains deeply committed to integrating machine learning into its core operations. In 2024, Bridgewater raised nearly $2 billion for a dedicated AI-driven fund where technology generates market insights and human analysts manage the risk. Since its launch, the fund has beaten the market while producing distinct investment theses that diverge from the firm's traditional human traders.

"That just blows your mind thinking what the future holds," Bar Dea said, though he cautioned that achieving an institutional edge requires more than off-the-shelf software. Profitable integration, he argued, relies heavily on proprietary training and unique data sets to combine human intuition with technological processing.

Bar Dea, a former major in the Israel Defense Forces, has transformed the 51-year-old firm since taking over as sole CEO from founder Ray Dalio in 2023 - paring down in size. Both of its flagship funds are currently closed to new investors.

Bar Dea's is the third such warning from a hedge-fund heavyweight in three weeks. Jones, whose Skynet-style alarm we covered last year, took to the Wall Street Journal on Sept. 10 to argue AI is becoming a "third superpower" that Trump and Xi must jointly contain. Jensen followed a day later, telling Bloomberg that AI will probably have to kill people before regulators move.

Every one of these warnings comes from a firm that is long the trade. Bridgewater's machine-learning fund is beating its human traders; Jensen holds early stakes in two of the labs; Tudor's flagship is not short Nvidia. Which is roughly where this audience landed when the AI labs themselves started asking for regulation earlier this month: the people best positioned to profit from AI are also the ones most insistent that somebody else slow it down.

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