美联储决议前,丑陋的尾部2年期国债拍卖外国需求暴跌
Foreign Demand Craters For Ugly, Tailing 2Y Treasury Auction Ahead Of Fed Decision

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/foreign-demand-craters-ugly-tailing-2y-treasury-auction-ahead-fed-decision

690亿美元2年期国债拍卖在FOMC会议前需求冷淡。其收益率为4.708%,略低于上月的4.787%,但较发行前水平尾差0.3个基点,为3月以来最大尾差。投标倍数降至2.589。外资/间接需求从57.8%大幅降至45.7%,为2021年11月以来最低;而直接需求升至创纪录的41.3%。承销商吸收了13.0%。总体而言,这是一场出人意料的疲弱拍卖,尾差为2026年第二高,尽管外资需求的崩溃本可能使结果更糟。

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原文

A week that sees a barrage of macro news, earnings, political developments, capital markets events including the massive Anthropic IPO offering doc and a record equity offering by Meta, also has a flood of coupon issuance to contend with starting with today's $69BN in 2Y paper which sold to tepid demand ahead of this week's FOMC decision. 

Let's see how the auction did, starting with the high yield 4.708% which was modestly below last month's 4.787% which was the highest since June 2024. This tailed the When Issued 4.705% by 0.3 bps, the biggest tail since March. 

The bid to cover was  2.589, down from 2.627 last month and the lowest since also March, when it dipped to 2.440.

But it was the internals where the biggest surprise, or rather disappointment, was to be found, as foreigners (Indirects) took down just 45.7%, a sharp drop from the 57.8% in September and the lowest since November 2021. Offsetting this collapse in foreign demand was a surge in Direct demand which sent the Direct bid sharply higher from 29.0% to 41.3%, the highest on record...

... leaving 13.0% to Dealers, or roughly in line with recent activity.

Overall, this was a surprisingly poor auction, which tailed the 2nd most of 2026, but judging by the dramatic collapse in foreign demand, it is almost surprising the results weren't far worse. 

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