人工智能会是下一个互联网泡沫吗?Gene Munster 对阵 George Noble,今晚美东时间晚上7点
AI The Next Dot-Com Bubble? Gene Munster Vs. George Noble Tonight At 7PM ET

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ai-next-dot-com-bubble-gene-munster-vs-george-noble-tonight-7pm-et

在10月科技股抛售将纳斯达克100指数推入回调区间后,AI情绪转为看跌,英特尔下跌47%,主要科技股大幅下跌。尽管今年AI总支出预计超过7300亿美元,投资者仍质疑其能否带来回报。ZeroHedge正在举办一场辩论,看涨投资者Gene Munster将AI视为一场早期且被低估的革命;看跌投资者George Noble则称其为资本密集型泡沫,回报不佳,到2030年超大规模云服务商盈利可能为负。活动将探讨这一下跌是崩盘信号还是买入机会。

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原文

Wall Street’s bulls and bears live in two different worlds when it comes to AI: Are we at the early stages of a technological revolution or another bubble destined to burst? And in the last month, the momentum has shifted towards the bears…

October saw significant drops in major tech sector names following the Nasdaq-100's recent selloff, led mostly by Intel which plunged 47% on for the month. Nvidia and Google also saw drops well above 12% and as of Monday’s close, the tech-heavy index officially entered correction territory, falling more than 10% from its October 6 high.

Combined AI spending by major technology companies is expected to exceed $730 billion this year. So the question remains whether this money is being thrown down a black hole.

Tonight at 7PM ET, ZeroHedge brings together two veteran investors on opposing sides of the AI trade: Gene Munster and George Noble, moderated by Jack Farley, host of Monetary Matters.

Making the bullish case is Gene Munster, managing partner and co-founder of Deepwater Asset Management and previously spent 21 years at Piper Sandler. He argues investors are underestimating how early we are in the AI revolution.

Despite the latest selloff, he remains optimistic that AI spending will exceed Wall Street's longer-term expectations. And regarding what appears to be a concentrated sale in chipmakers, Munster believes the industry's growth will extend well beyond what today's leaders like Nvidia and Intel can produce.

Taking the bearish side is George Noble, the veteran investor who began his career working alongside legendary Fidelity fund manager Peter Lynch before running the Fidelity Overseas Fund. Noble believes the AI boom has developed into a capital-intensive speculative bubble, with companies spending enormous sums on chips and data centers without demonstrating adequate returns on investment.

Noble projects hyperscaler earnings will go negative by 2030 and compares the current AI infrastructure buildout to the shale industry's capital spending boom.

So will we see a crash that makes Dot-Com and 2008 look like a picnic, as Enron short-seller Jim Chanos has called for? Or was October’s drop a buying opportunity?

Join Gene Munster, George Noble and Jack Farley tonight at 7PM ET to answer these questions. Here on the ZeroHedge homepage, X feed, and Youtube channel.

 

 

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