6 月份 ADP 就业人数令人失望——新增人数连续第三个月下降
ADP Payrolls Disappoint In June - 3rd Straight Monthly Decline In Additions

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/adp-payrolls-disappoint-june-3rd-straight-monthly-decline-additions

ADP 报告称 6 月份新增就业岗位 15 万(远低于预期的 16.5 万)——这是就业岗位新增连续第三个月下降,也是自 1 月份以来最弱的一次……来源:彭博社 即使 ADP 的顶级经济学家也无法扭转这一局面……“就业增长已经 ADP 首席经济学家内拉·理查森 (Nela Richardson) 表示,如果休闲和酒店业的招聘没有出现反弹,六月将会是一个悲观的月份。 服务业再次主导就业增长……6 月份,留职人员的薪资同比增幅为 4.9%,是 2021 年 8 月以来最慢的增长速度。跳槽者的薪资增幅也放缓至 7.7%。 资料来源:彭博社 最后,我们注意到,ADP 在过去 10 个月中有 9 个月低估了政府官方 BLS 就业数据……资料来源:彭博社……还是官方数据大大高估了现实?

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原文

ADP reported 150k job additions in June (well below the 165k expected) - the third straight monthly decline in job additions and the weakest since January...

Source: Bloomberg

Even ADP's top economist couldn't spin it...

"Job growth has been solid, but not broad-based. Had it not been for a rebound in hiring in leisure and hospitality, June would have been a downbeat month," said Nela Richardson Chief Economist, ADP.

Once again Services dominated job additions...

Year-over-year pay gains for job-stayers were 4.9 percent in June, the slowest pace of growth since August 2021. Pay gains for job-changers also slowed, to 7.7 percent.

Source: Bloomberg

Finally, we note that ADP has under-estimated the government's official BLS payrolls print for 9 of the last 10 months...

Source: Bloomberg

...or the official data has vastly over-estimated reality?

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