凯尔·巴斯表示,针对黑球石油的“绿色”战争注定会失败 
Kyle Bass Says 'Green' War To Blackball Oil Was Doomed To Fail 

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/kyle-bass-says-green-war-blackball-oil-was-doomed-fail

海曼资本管理公司创始人兼首席信息官凯尔·巴斯 (Kyle Bass) 断言,对环境、社会和治理 (ESG) 投资日益增长的批评主要源于气候活动人士的强烈要求。 巴斯认为,这些要求是不现实的,因为摆脱化石燃料的转变不可能立即发生; 相反,这种变化可能需要几十年的时间。 由于坚持立即放弃化石燃料而不考虑长期替代品,激进的气候活动人士引发了抵制。 巴斯表示,从一开始就逐步减少化石燃料的使用可能可以避免目前的阻力。 相反,倡导突然停止使用化石燃料导致德克萨斯州撤回了对与化石燃料相关的企业的支持。 Bass 强调了解能源转型的重要性,能源转型需要大约 40-50 年的时间,替代能源才能成为传统发电方法的可行替代品。 他提出向效率、电气化以及最终向核电的转变是实现彻底能源转型的最佳方法。 在转型期间,同时利用化石燃料和可再生能源仍然是必要的。 最近,巴斯声称,将 ESG 考虑置于经济可行性之上构成了对投资的政治干预,损害了信托责任。 此外,数据显示,美国大约一半的电力来自天然气发电厂,而今年夏天,与煤炭生产相比,可再生能源发电量有所下降。 作者最后指出,那些将与气候危机相关的意识形态或进步信念置于理性判断之上的人将不可避免地面临失败。

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原文

Hayman Capital Management founder and CIO Kyle Bass explained in a Bloomberg interview that the mounting backlash against environmental, social, and governance investing in recent years is primarily a response to the extreme demands of radical climate activists, or "green" defenders. Bass argued that these activists were so disconnected from reality that their uncompromising stance on blackballing the fossil fuel industry—without acknowledging that energy transitions can take upwards of half a century—has fueled the backlash. He said plans to moderate fossil fuel usage over decades from the start would've possibly prevented the backlash.

Bass said the ESG backlash derives from climate activists' demands that fossil fuels be abandoned immediately. He said the demands were never realistic. 

"There were all of these idiots that were just saying, if anyone is doing hydrocarbons, we're going to blackball them from doing business or from receiving capital," Bass said, adding, "And so Texas lashed back and said, if you're going to blackball someone that's producing hydrocarbons, we're not going to do business with you either."

He said, "Energy transitions take 40 or 50 years," pointing out that people "think we can just turn hydrocarbons off and turn on alternative power. But they have no idea how the grid works and no idea how business works."

Bass said the focus should now be on efficiency and electrification. He said the long-term goal should be the energy transition to nuclear. Until then, he noted, fossil fuels and renewable energy sources are "going to coexist for decades and decades to come." 

In a separate interview with CNBC's "Squawk Box" in 2022, Bass said, "The desire for the world to engage in alternative energy is one that I think we all would love to see happen, but there are certain scientific realities, and there are certain narratives that get pushed by NGOs and teenagers. And I think we've been taking policy cues from NGOs and teenagers for a long time."

Bass pointed out that a proper energy transition takes upwards of a half-century. In the interview with CNBC, he said, "The move from coal to natural gas took forty years. They take a very, very, very long time. We can't just flip a switch." 

In his most recent interview with Bloomberg, Bass said, "Skirting hydrocarbons is like bringing politics into investing," adding, "If you're willing to give up returns for that, then so be it. But I think that's naive and it's a breach of fiduciary duty."

The latest Bloomberg data shows that about half of the US power grid is powered by natural gas generators. This summer, renewable energy power has slid, with coal now producing more power than wind and solar.

In recent years, ESG policies have discouraged investment by banks, funds, pensions, and other entities in the natural gas and coal industries. The problem with this is that unreliable solar and wind can't power artificial data centers 24/7. We've noted that the financial industry's initial rush to commit to net zero carbon footprints has hit a reality check in a note titled "ESG Frustration And Backlash In The Banking Sector Continues." 

The big takeaway is that anyone who puts their climate crisis or woke religion first ahead of rational decision-making is doomed to fail.

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