高盛发现消费放缓之际“节俭趋势跑赢大盘” 
Goldman Finds "Thrift Trends Outperform" Amid Consumer Slowdown 

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-finds-thrift-trends-outperform-amid-consumer-slowdown

Placer.ai 的数据显示,由于价格上涨和经济压力,消费者正在削减支出。 他们越来越多地在折扣店购物,而不是在 Lululemon 或 Nike 等高档商店购物。 这种趋势在低收入和中产阶级人群中尤为明显。 高盛分析师发现,8月整体商店客流量较7月略有改善,但折扣店和二手店仍出现强劲增长。 相比之下,百货商店和某些专营零售商今年迄今的表现好坏参半。 此外,lululemon 和 Nike Factory Stores 等运动品牌在此期间表现不佳。 消费者行为的这种转变可能归因于持续的经济挑战,此前在企业财报电话会议上将其称为“消费者低迷”。 这些问题可能源于拜登政府陷入困境的经济,类似于过去观察到的大衰退。 研究人员建议在沃尔玛购物以获得更超值的食品杂货,这反映了当前的经济环境,许多美国人正在转向沃尔玛和 Dollar General 等负担得起的选择。

相关文章

原文

Goldman cited new data in a note to clients on Monday from Placer.ai, a startup that tracks and analyzes foot traffic from mobile devices at brick-and-mortar retailers. The data revealed that consumers continue trading down to 'off-price' stores as elevated inflation and high interest rates financially squeeze low- and mid-tier consumers. 

The team of Goldman analysts, led by Brooke Roach and Evan Dorschner, told clients they updated their "trackers for August store traffic on a visits per venue basis (sourced via Placer.ai) for department stores, off-price, and select specialty retailers and others within our coverage." 

"On balance, traffic trends sequentially improved in August across every retailer we track following weaker results in July," the analysts said. 

However, they pointed out, "Within this, off-price and thrift trends continue to outperform other consumer discretionary retailers, while department store and specialty retail traffic results have been fairly choppy YTD. Athletic brands (lululemon and Nike Factory Store) have underperformed." 

Thrift is in...

What's not in is paying full retail at Lululemon Athletica and Nike stores. 

And we wonder why. 

The big takeaway from the latest earnings season in corporate America is extreme weakness from low/mid-tier consumers. Last month, we noted that earnings call mentions of a "consumer downturn" soared to the highest levels since the financial crisis. Also, "trading down" mentions have surged in recent years as the middle class implodes under failed Bidenomics. The last time this happened was around GFC

Welcome to America under Biden-Harris. The inflation storm has transformed a nation of consumers into Walmart and Dollar General shoppers.

Goldman told clients on July 15 that Walmart had the best grocery deals

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com