房屋开工量大幅下降,竣工量却猛增,经济衰退非常严重
Housing Starts Are Tumbling As Completions Soar, It's Very Recessionary

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/housing-starts-are-tumbling-completions-soar-its-very-recessionary

房屋开工与竣工之间的差距已达到 1980 年以来的最大水平,引发担忧。 单户住房数据弱于整体新屋开工数据。 尽管美联储的前景乐观,但正如最近成屋销售的下降所表明的那样,经济可能并不像声称的那样强劲。 此外,申请失业救济人数的改善部分是由于福利即将到期,这表明劳动力市场存在潜在的潜在疲软。

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原文

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com,

The discrepancy between housing starts and completions is the largest since 1980. Let’s discuss...

Data from the Census Department, calculation and chart by Mish

The DotCom bust was unrelated to housing. Most recessions impact housing or housing busts lead to recession.

The single-family stats aren’t good, but they aren’t as bad.

Single Family Housing Starts Minus Completions

The next chart puts the discrepancy into proper perspective.

Housing Starts and Completions

Housing Starts Minus Completions Detail

The Strong Economy?

Fed Chair Jerome Powell put on a strong display during the FOMC press conference.

But if the economy was as strong as Powell let on, the Fed arguably should have not cut rates at all.

On September 19, I noted Existing Home Sales Decline for the 24th Time in 31 Months

From a year ago sales are down 2.5 percent. Sales are down 39 percent from the January 2022 high.

The Ominous Reason Continued Unemployment Claims Have Improved

Also, please note The Ominous Reason Continued Unemployment Claims Have Improved

The brief synopsis is unemployment benefits are expiring rapidly.

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