ADP 就业报告显示就业强劲反弹
ADP Employment Report Shows Strong Rebound In Jobs

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/adp-employment-report-shows-strong-rebound-jobs

尽管最近美联储降息,ADP 的就业报告显示就业岗位创造量出现惊人激增(+14.3 万)。 这一增长超出了预期,扭转了五个月以来的放缓趋势,除信息行业外的所有行业均出现增长。 制造业出现自四月份以来的首次就业增长。 然而,工资增长继续放缓,留职者和跳槽者的工资均出现下降。 这种意外的就业增长使美联储进一步降息的理由变得复杂,因为这与经济增长放缓的理由相矛盾。

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原文

In the first major labor market indication since The Fed slashed rates by 50bps (because the economy is doing so well?), ADP's Employment report showed a much bigger than expected increase in jobs (+143k vs +125k exp vs +103k prior)...

Source: Bloomberg

That was above all but one of the economists' estimates...

Source: Bloomberg

Job creation showed a widespread rebound after a five-month slowdown. Only one sector, information, lost jobs. Manufacturing added jobs for the first time since April.

Wage growth continues to slow...Year-over-year pay gains for job-stayers fell slightly in September to 4.7 percent. For job-changers the decline was greater, falling from 7.3 percent in August to 6.6 percent.

“Stronger hiring didn't require stronger pay growth last month,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP.

“Typically, workers who change jobs see faster pay growth. But their premium over job-stayers shrank to 1.9 percent, matching a low we last saw in January."

So how will The Fed explain their next rate cut if jobs are re-accelerating?

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