密歇根大学通胀预期跃升至 16 年来新高,民主党信心崩溃
UMich Inflation Expectations Jump To 16-Year-High, Democrats' Confidence Crushed

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/umich-inflation-expectations-jump-16-year-high-democrats-confidence-crushed

根据最新的密歇根大学情绪调查,长期通胀跃升至 2008 年 6 月以来的最高水平,而短期通胀预期则降至四年来的最低点……资料来源:彭博社 特朗普 - 密歇根大学情绪在 11 月下降(从初步到最终),但总体较高(尽管当前情况有所下降)...资料来源:彭博社 选举后采访比选举前的读数低 1.3 个百分点,缓和了之前看到的改善在这个月里。 总体而言,本月民族情绪的稳定掩盖了不和谐的党派模式。 与 2020 年 11 月的情况相反,本月共和党人的预期指数飙升,民主党人的预期指数下降,反映出两个群体对特朗普政策将如何影响经济的看法不一致。                

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原文

Longer-term inflation jumped to their highest since June 2008, according to the latest UMich Sentiment survey, while short-term inflation expectations dropped to four year lows...

Source: Bloomberg

Interestingly, on the heels of a positive PMI surprise - based on Trump - UMich sentiment declined in November (from preliminary to final) but was higher overall (even though current conditions dipped)...

Source: Bloomberg

Post-election interviews were 1.3 points below the pre-election reading, moderating the improvement seen earlier in the month.

Overall, the stability of national sentiment this month obscures discordant partisan patterns.

In a mirror image of November 2020, the expectations index surged for Republicans and fell for Democrats this month, a reflection of the two groups’ incongruous views of how Trump’s policies will influence the economy.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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