ADP就业令人失望,美国制造业出现2023年6月以来最大失业
ADP Employment Disappoints, US Manufacturing Sees Biggest Job Losses Since June 2023

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/adp-employment-disappoints-sees-big-downward-revision-weak-manufacturing

11 月份的就业增长低于预期,仅增加了 14.6 万个就业岗位,大大低于预期的 15 万个就业岗位。 10 月份的就业增长也下调至 18.4 万,这是自 2023 年 5 月以来最大的下调。值得注意的是,制造业经历了春季以来最疲软的就业增长,而金融服务以及休闲和酒店业也有所减弱。工资增速延续上行趋势,换岗工资同比增速达到7.20%,为2023年8月以来最高。不过,焦点仍是周五即将公布的就业数据,该数据将显着影响美联储接下来的货币政策决策星期。

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原文

After surging 233k higher in October (biggest jump since July 2023), expectations were for a slowdown in job additions in November to +150k. The reality was a double whammy of pain with October's surge revised down to just +184k and November's print missing expectations at +146k...

Source: Bloomberg

"While overall growth for the month was healthy, industry performance was mixed," said Nela Richardson, Chief Economist, ADP.

"Manufacturing was the weakest we've seen since spring. Financial services and leisure and hospitality were also soft."

That was the biggest manufacturing job loss since June 2023...

Source: Bloomberg

October's revision was the largest to the downside since May 2023...

Source: Bloomberg

Worse still, wage growth starting to rise again (after unions scored huge wage increases).

  • Job-changer wage growth rose to 7.20% YoY  from 6.70%, highest since August.

  • Job-stayer wage growth 4.80%, highest since June; year-over-year pay gains for job-stayers edged up for the first time in 25 months

Source: Bloomberg

...of course, all that matters is Friday's made-up data for The Fed's decision next week.

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